NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 11


Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 11!

Miami Dolphins (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Buffalo -2.5, Total: 45

Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Thursday, November 15th, 8:30 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Dolphins and the Bills both know that they need to win this game to keep pace with the Patriots in the AFC East. Miami was in the playoff race just two weeks ago, but it is in danger of falling out of it if this is the team’s third straight loss. The Bills could have gotten back to within a game of New England if they had figured out how to get their last drive into the end zone, but after QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw a pick, that was the end of that thought. Now at 3-6, winning out might be the only way for Buffalo to get into the postseason. This is a series that has been typically dominated by the home team, knowing that the visitors hadn’t scored more than 17 points in 11 straight games in this series, but the last game between these two, the Fins won 30-23 in a remarkable offensive showing for RB Reggie Bush.

Green Bay Packers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Detroit Lions (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -3.5, Total: 52

Ford Field, Detroit, MI – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Packers have all of the action on their side this week, and they are drawing over 70% of the bets. And for good reason! Detroit knows that it is headed in the wrong direction, and last week’s loss to the Vikings might have been a deathblow. This game though, absolutely has to be won if the Lions are going to stay in it, because a sixth loss in this division won’t be able to be recovered from. Green Bay is now in control of its own destiny in the NFC North, and a win parlayed with a Chicago loss will put it back in first place in the division, where it might stay for the rest of the year. QB Aaron Rodgers has had a great history against the Lions in his career, and this should be no exception, especially with WR Jordy Nelson coming back to the lineup this week. The Pack have only lost one game in this series since September 2005.

Arizona Cardinals (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) @ Atlanta Falcons (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: Atlanta -9.5, Total: 44

Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Falcons are unbeaten no more, and the 1972 Dolphins have officially popped the cork for this season. Atlanta still has the best record in the NFC and is tied for the best record in the league. Of course, it was only a little over a month ago that the Cardinals had the best record in the league as well, but since that point, QB Kevin Kolb got hurt, and the team hasn’t won a game. The offense hasn’t scored more than 17 points in a game since scoring at least 20 in the first four games as well. To make matters even worse, the home team has won five straight and nine out of 10 in this series, and that really could make matters very difficult for a team that just isn’t all that good. Should the Cardinals stick within single digits in this game, it will be their first cover since Week 3 against the Eagles.

Cincinnati Bengals (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -3.5, Total: 43.5

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Chiefs led for the very first time this year last week, and they are going to try to carry that momentum into a second straight battle against an AFC North team. This is a very winnable game, and it is important for Kansas City to get back in the win column at some point to help potentially save Head Coach Romeo Crennel’s job. WR AJ Green has scored a touchdown in eight straight games, and he is going to make his best effort at continuing that streak with the help of QB Andy Dalton. The Bengals only just stopped their four-game skid both from an SU and an ATS standpoint last week against the Giants, but if they can beat the champs, they should be able to handle these chumps as well. Of course, that’s the same mentality that the rest of the betting public is taking, as over two thirds of the action is on Cincinnati on the road.

Cleveland Browns (2-7 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -7.5, Total: 43.5

Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Cowboys have themselves a heck of an opportunity that they could put them within a game of the idle Giants in the race in the NFC East. Losing this game though, would be a bona fide disaster in every sense of the word. The Browns have been a stingy team over the course of the last several weeks, and they are capable of winning this game, even on the road. Cleveland has stayed within two scores in every single one of its games this year, and the likelihood is there that that will be the case once again. Head Coach Pat Shurmur has a team that works really hard and deserves a win like this one, and it wouldn’t be shocking to see that be the case. The Cowboys have won and covered both of their games in this series, one here in Dallas, and one over at the Dawg Pound. Both games failed to get within even a touchdown of the ‘total’.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Washington -3.5, Total: 43.5

FedEx Field, Landover, MD – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

It wasn’t all that long ago that it seemed that the Redskins and Eagles would be sticking around in the playoff race this year. Instead, both of these teams are in the gutter in the NFC East, and the loser is going to be just 3-7 and absolutely dead in the NFC playoff race. The winner though, will be back within two of the slumping Giants in the NFC East, and the chances are that that will at least keep them in the fold for the foreseeable future. This is going to be a battle of a pair of rookie quarterbacks. It’s no shock to see QB Robert Griffin III starting for the Redskins, but to see QB Nick Foles playing for the Eagles is a shock. QB Michael Vick suffered a concussion last week, and the job might be Foles’ for the rest of the season. Philly has won and covered three straight games in this series dating back to the end of the 2010 regular season.

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Houston Texans (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)
Spread: Houston -15, Total: 40.5

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Texans have always had their way with the Jaguars, and this probably isn’t going to be an exception. They’re the biggest favorite on the board this week, and they are going to be one of the biggest favorites of the entire season as well. It’s a sandwich game for Houston though, knowing that this one is coming just seven days after the big Sunday Night Football win against the Bears, and four days before the team’s first ever Thanksgiving Day game in Detroit. The Jags have played well on the road this year, covering all four games and winning one of those outings, their only victory of the campaign. Houston has gone 3-0-1 ATS in the last four games in this series, though it is going to take a three score victory for this team to log yet another victory. Three straight in this series have failed to reach the ‘total’ as well.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-4 SU, 7-2 ATS) @ Carolina Panthers (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Tampa Bay -1, Total: 48.5

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

It was only a couple months ago that the Panthers were favored by a field goal on the road at Raymond James Stadium. But then again, it was only a month ago that Tampa Bay was a team that was still on the league’s longest losing streak, and Carolina had dreams of going to the Super Bowl. Of course, neither of those things really has stayed the course, and that’s why the Bucs are now the favorites even though they are on the road. If Tampa Bay wins this game, it could be right back in the thick of the fight for a Wild Card slot in the NFC, and that would be a huge accomplishment. However, there hasn’t been much in the way of success for the Buccaneers here at Bank of America Field in the past, including last year when they were smashed 48-16 in a game in which they allowed 270 rushing yards and four total scores to QB Cam Newton.

New York Jets (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (3-5-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: St. Louis -3.5, Total: 39

Edward Jones Dome – Sunday, November 18th, 1:00 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The circus is coming to the Edward Jones Dome, and that must mean that the Jets are the road team… QB Tim Tebow was classified as “hated” this week by some of his own teammates, and that’s only going to add fuel to the fire for a team that is already a train wreck and a half. (And that might give train wrecks a bad name!) There’s just no way to see how QB Mark Sanchez can succeed in this type of a playing environment, especially knowing that Head Coach Rex Ryan has totally lost his locker room as well. The season isn’t over with yet for the Jets, but it surely feels like it. St. Louis is in a lot of trouble in the NFC West as well, but it had a great result last week, coming up with a tie at Candlestick Park against a very stout San Francisco outfit. The last time these two teams met, the Jets slammed the Rams 47-3, but prior to that, you have to go back to when the Rams played in Los Angeles to find the last win in this series. In fact, New York has never won a game here at the Edward Jones Dome.

New Orleans Saints (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Oakland Raiders (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: New Orleans -4.5, Total: 54.5 Coliseum, Oakland, CA – Sunday, November 18th, 4:05 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

This is the highest ‘total’ of the week and likely the most square game of the weekend as well. The Saints are laying 4.5, but they are getting 77% of the action on their side. In all likelihood, most of the betting is going to be on the ‘over’ as well. New Orleans comes into this game having won four out of five games to get back in the playoff chase in the NFC. Oakland already has a win this year against the Steelers at home, and this is a team that always has had a history of knocking off some great teams here at the Black Hole. The boys from the Bayou have covered six of the last seven in this series over the course of the last 2+ decades. Oakland’s defense is going to be tested once again after it allowed 55 and 42 points over the course of the last two weeks. This might be another brutal game for the ‘D’ against QB Drew Brees and company.

San Diego Chargers (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Denver Broncos (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: Denver -8, Total: 48

Sports Authority Field at Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO – Sunday, November 18th, 4:25 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

The Broncos and the Chargers were involved in a great Sunday Night Football affair just a few weeks ago, and it was a game that really should have gone to the Bolts. However, San Diego coughed up a 24-0 lead and ultimately lost 35-24, and it was almost the demise of Head Coach Norv Turner. In fact, losing this game might ultimately finally send Norv out of town. QB Philip Rivers has had a great career against the Broncos, but he has lost two straight in this series at home. Now, he has to go on the road to Mile High, where QB Peyton Manning has led his team to a 3-1 SU and ATS mark this year. The Broncos, since falling behind 24-0 to San Diego, have outscored their four foes by the aggregate score of 136-51, or an average margin of victory per 60 minutes of roughly 39-14.

Indianapolis Colts (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) @ New England Patriots (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Spread: New England -9, Total: 54

Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA – Sunday, November 18th, 4:25 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

It isn’t all that often that you see the betting public gravitate towards an underdog, but this is the case in this one, and perhaps for good reason. QB Andrew Luck takes his first shot at a big time team like the Patriots, and he has a four-game winning streak both SU and ATS to show for his last four games coming into it. The Patriots have already lost to the Cardinals outright and were forced to overtime against the Jets, and in both of those games, they were similarly sized underdogs. In fact, just last week as well, New England was favored by 13.5 over the Bills, only to ultimately go on to win the game just on the merit of an interception in the end zone at the end of the duel. Indy came to town last year and only lost by a touchdown against the Pats as 20.5 point underdogs. The home team has won four games in a row, but interestingly enough, the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four games.

Baltimore Ravens (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: Baltimore -3.5, Total: 40

Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA – Sunday, November 18th, 8:20 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

Generally speaking, you throw out the record books when the Ravens and Steelers play against each other. These two teams have a genuine disdain for either other, but the bad news is that two of the stalwarts of this rivalry are out of the lineup. LB Ray Lewis has been out for most of the year for Baltimore, but the biggest injury that really sent things into flux this week was when QB Ben Roethlisberger was ruled out with a rib injury and a separated shoulder. The winner of this game is going to be in first place in the AFC North, but all isn’t lost for the loser, knowing that these two are going to get another crack at each other in just two weeks at M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore did sweep the season series last year both SU and ATS, including posting a rare win here at Heinz Field.

Chicago Bears (7-2 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) @ San Francisco 49ers (6-2-1 SU, 5-4 ATS)
Spread: No Line, Total: No Line

Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA – Monday, November 19th, 8:30 ET

Click Here For Handicapping Match-up Details

Last week was a bona fide disaster for both the Bears and the 49ers. Chicago was beaten by the Texans, while the Niners suffered a brutal tie against the Rams, the worst team in the NFC West. However, it wasn’t the actual result of either game that might prove to be the difference maker. Instead, it might be the fact that both quarterbacks suffered concussions. QB Jay Cutler really looks doubtful for this one, while the chances are better for QB Alex Smith to be in the fold. Either way, both backup quarterbacks had better be ready, and that means that we might get a first look at second year man, QB Collin Kaepernick as a starting quarterback after a lot of spot duty over the course of the last two seasons. The home team has won and covered the last 11 games in this series, a number that is just out of this world to think about. As of Thursday night though, there is still no line and no indication as to which team is going to be favored when push comes to shove.

The following two tabs change content below.

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

Latest posts by Adam Markowitz (see all)

You must be logged in to post a comment Login