NFL Best Bets – Week 15
- Updated: December 14, 2011
NFL Best Bets-Week 15
The odds makers’ razor-sharp lines evened things out for the second week in-a-row with eight home teams and eight road teams each covering against the spread. The favorites and underdogs were even as well at 8-8 and the total went ‘over’ in nine games, stayed ‘under’ in seven, and one game end in a ‘push’. Our Week 14 ‘best bets’ went 2-1 with the correct play on Atlanta and the NY Giants, but the wrong one on San Francisco.
In an effort to keep adding to the bankroll, we dug a bit deeper into this week‘s spreads and are once again ready to ‘Bang the Book’ with three more free NFL picks.
Dallas Cowboys (-7) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas has to feel a bit snake-bit over the past two weeks as it blew a couple of golden opportunities to secure a trip back to the playoffs. The good news is that Tony Romo continues to play at a very high level with 620 yards passing and five touchdowns in the last two games.
Tampa Bay has been snake-bit ever since boarding the plane for England. After losing to Chicago 24-18 as 1.5-point underdogs in the NFL’s annual game in London, the Buccaneers have yet to win a game. They are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS since that fateful trip.
The Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in seven home games this season. The favorite in this series is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and Dallas is 4-1 ATS in the last five games overall. The Cowboys do not screw around with a lead this time around and add to the Bucs continued jet lag.
The Free NFL Pick: Dallas 27 Tampa Bay 10
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants (-7)
You have to give credit to Washington for playing everybody tough week in and week out, but a promising 3-1 start has given-way to just one win in its last nine games. The Redskins are 3-6 ATS during this stretch, but 3-1 ATS in their last four games.
New York’s miracle 37-34 victory over Dallas as a 4.5-point road underdog last Sunday night puts it in the driver seat in the NFC East, but the Giants realize they will probably have to win their last three games to actually claim the division title.
The home team in this series is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the favorite is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 15. Even with a 28-14 win over the Giants on opening day as a 2.5-point home favorites, Washington is 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven games played on the road. New York does just enough to win and cover the seven-point spread.
The Pick: New York 24 Washington 13
Cleveland Browns vs. Arizona Cardinals (-6.5)
Cleveland is another team that let a respectable 3-3 start deteriorate into and overall record of 4-9 SU and 4-7-2 ATS. The Browns will have to try and snap a three-game skid with Seneca Wallace as their starting quarterback as Colt McCoy is out of the lineup with a concussion.
Arizona has been able to erase a miserable 1-6 start with five wins in its last six games. It is now 6-7 SU overall and a profitable 5-1 ATS in this six-game run. It looks like John Skelton will once again get the start at quarterback for an injured Kevin Kolb, but that is probably a good thing for the Cardinals.
The Browns are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs on the road. The Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. The cold-weather Browns wilt in the desert as Arizona wins its fourth straight game with relative ease.
The Pick: Arizona 23 Cleveland 10
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