NFL Best Bets – Week 14
- Updated: December 7, 2011
NFL Best Bets-Week 14
The odds makers were in their glory last week in the NFL with eight home teams and eight road teams each covering against the spread. The underdogs had the slight edge with nine of 16 covering ATS and the total line had eight games go ‘over’, seven stay ‘under’, and one game end in a ‘push’. Our Week 13 ‘best bets’ were a bit off the mark with the correct call on San Francisco, but the wrong one on Tampa Bay and Atlanta.
In an effort to right the ship, we dug a bit deeper into this week‘s spreads and are once again ready to ‘Bang the Book’ with three more free NFL picks.
Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) vs. Carolina Panthers
The Falcons are now two games in back of New Orleans for the lead in the NFC South and desperately need a win this week to stay ahead of the pack in wildcard race. While the Falcons’ offense has been spotty at times this season, their defense is now ranked 10th in the NFL in both total yards and points allowed.
Carolina’s offense, led by rookie quarterback Cam Newton is one of the biggest turnaround stories of the year. After finishing ranked last in the NFL in 2010, it is currently ranked eighth in scoring and fifth in total yards.
Atlanta beat the Panthers 31-17 earlier this season as a 3.5-point home favorite and is now 5-1 both SU and ATS in the last six meetings. The favorite in this series is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games. Stick with the Falcons to do just enough to win and cover this time around.
The Free NFL Pick: Atlanta 24 Carolina 17
San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco’s 26-0 shutout of St. Louis last Sunday as a 14-point home favorite wrapped-up the NFC West Division race as it is now 10-2 SU. The 49ers have also been extremely profitable this season with an NFL-best 10-1-1 record ATS.
Arizona kept its slim playoff hopes alive last Sunday with a stunning 19-13 overtime victory over Dallas as a four-point home underdog. The Cardinals’ offense got a boost from the return of Kevin Kolb, who missed the previous three games with a foot injury. He passed for 247 yards while completing an impressive 64 percent of his throws.
The 49ers are 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings including a 23-7 romp just four weeks ago as 10-point home favorites. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last five trips to Arizona and the road team in this series is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The 49ers keep their foot pressed down on the pedal in a close one.
The Free NFL Pick: San Francisco 24 Arizona 20
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)
New York has been an underdog in four of its last five games and has a 1-4 SU (2-3 ATS) record to show for it. At 6-6 SU on the year, the Giants have gotten to the point where they cannot afford a loss this Sunday if they are to have any hope of winning the NFC East.
With the month of November and a four-game winning streak a distant memory, the Cowboys need to quickly find a way to bounce-back from last week’s devastating loss to the Cardinals. This team has been notorious for late-season collapses in the past and a loss on Sunday night could send it into a full-blow tail spin.
The Giants have gotten the best of this rivalry in the recent past, winning five of the last seven meetings both SU and ATS. New York has also had recent success on the road in this series with a 5-2-1 record ATS in its last eight trips to Dallas. In a desperation game for both teams, the Giants want it just a bit more.
The Free NFL Pick: New York 31 Dallas 28
Latest posts by Dave Schwab (see all)
- NBA Pick: New York Knicks vs. Brooklyn Nets - December 5, 2013
- Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat Free NBA Pick - December 3, 2013
- Free NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks - December 2, 2013