Last Updated: 2017-12-29
This could be the toughest week to pick winners in the National Football League. The handicapper has to consider all sorts of different things that are going on in the locker rooms of every NFL team. Tread carefully and good luck in the final week of the season.
New York Giants
Could it get any worse for the New York Giants? Just days after Landon Collins came out and called teammate Eli Apple a “Cancer”, the team suspended Apple for the rest of the season. It is almost impossible to get a feel for the Giants state of mind in the locker room at the moment. This makes the Giants team tough to bet on right now.
The Eagles lost Carson Wentz for the season but are still winning with Nick Foles under center. With home field advantage through the NFL Playoffs the Eagles now have a 19 percent chance to win Super Bowl LII which is not bad if you hold a future bet on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl.
The Redskins game could be the last one for Kirk Cousins as he could play for another team next season. They are going up against the highly dysfunctional Giants. Cousins dominates straight up and against the spread (ATS) against losing teams as he has covered 12 of the last 17 games against teams with a losing record.
The Cowboys are still reeling from an ugly loss to Seattle that eliminated the team from the playoffs. The Cowboys players and coaching staff have a bad habit of giving up late in the season when they are officially eliminated. Proof of that is the fact that they are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games that they have played in week 17.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints are known for a team that is good at home, but that has changed of late. They are beatable at home, but more importantly they have become a juggernaut on the road. The Saints have covered 13 of the last 17 games that they have played on the road and perhaps more impressively they are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 games in the NFC South.
The Carolina Panthers still have something to play for as there is the NFC South title and a first round bye available. This is going to be the Panthers first road game since December 3rd and they have already clinched a playoff spot. However, Cam Netwon has won five of his last six games as an underdog.
The Falcons are in a must-win spot and are four point favorites this week at home against the Panthers. The last two wins by the Falcons have been by 3 points or less and they have played ten games that have been decided by a touchdown or less. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in those games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
If you’re looking for teams that have given up on the season, look no further than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They have lost five straight coming into the game against the New Orleans Saints this weekend. QB Jameis Winston has lost nine consecutive starts and this team is looking towards the off-season.
The LA Rams are one of the many teams that are resting players in the last week of the regular season. When the Rams go up against the 49ers this weekend they will rest Jared Goff and instead start Sean Mannion at quarterback. They will also rest running back Todd Gurley.
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are looking good with Jimmy G who has yet to lose this season. He is against a Rams team that is sitting out the stars at quarterback and running back. Because of the winning streak and the Rams sitting out players, the 49ers are getting over 70 percent of the bets making them one of the most popular bets of the week.
The Seattle Seahawks are a double digit favorite this week at home against the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks still have something to play for and QB Russell Wilson is 27-5 straight up when favored by more than a touchdown in his career.
The Arizona Cardinals are done on the season and the public don’t think they will score a lot of points in the season finale against the Seahawks. The total in this game has dropped from 41 to 38 as 77 percent of the bets coming in are on the under in this game. There are 14 games with a total of 44 or below this week.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers are not going to make the playoffs, which is abnormal for this team. They showed last week that they are just playing out the string. That could be connected to all of the injuries that they have. Clay Matthews has returned but others still out are Nick Perry, Jahri Evans, Richard Rodgers, Davante Adams, Jordy Nelson, Geronimo Allison and Aaron Jones.
The Detroit Lions are losing games down the stretch and it is because the defense is struggling. The Lions D has allowed the fourth most points in the NFC and they have allowed the opposition to score touchdowns on more than 61 percent of trips to the red zone. That’s good news for Packer backers this week.
The Bears have nothing to play for this week against Minnesota and they are in a serious slump right now. They are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 road games, 0-3-1 ATS in the last four games when playing a team with a winning record and just 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight games overall. They are 1-4 ATS in the last five trips to Minnesota and they may have already packed it in for the season.
The Vikings are one of the best teams in the NFL this season and get a chance to beat up on the Bears this week. The Vikings are 5-0 straight up in the last five meetings against the Bears and have not allowed any team to score 20 points on the road this season.
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