Last Updated: 2017-11-10
With the season more than halfway through, the point spreads on the game are getting more and more accurate. Because of this, it is more important than ever to read up on all of the quick hits and betting bits before making your bets for the weekend.
The Ezekiel Elliot saga continues as the Cowboys running back lost another battle and will not play this week against the Atlanta Falcons. Unlike in weeks past don’t look for a last minute Hail Mary by the Cowboys. Elliot cannot appeal again for four weeks which means he will miss the next four games at a minimum.
New York Giants
The biggest news coming out of the Giants compound is that the players have given up on their head coach and that the team is considering benching Eli Manning or even trading him. Although this seems like a mess, the sharp bettors still believe that the Giants are worth an investment. The 49ers opened as (-1) point favorites against the Giants and the line was steamed in favor of the Giants. The Giants are now (-2.5) favorites in the game against the winless 49ers.
How much of a surprise are the Philadelphia Eagles this year? After another incredible win in blowout fashion, the birds are now the Super Bowl favorites. When the season started the Eagles were 40-to-1 to win the Super Bowl and after the win last week the Eagles are now 45-to-1 which is the biggest Super Bowl odds improvement since the start of the season for any team in the league.
The Redskins just had an incredible come from behind win against the Seattle Seahawks and now host the Vikings this week. The problem with Washington is that they have been inconsistent and they have problems beating some of the best teams in the league. Before the win against Seattle the Redskins lost to the Cowboys, Eagles, and Chiefs showing how they struggle against the better teams in the league. To prove that point the Redskins are just 1-5 against the spread at home in the last six games against teams with a winning record.
New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints are one of the most impressive teams so far this season, but they get a true road test when they have to play a game in the bitter cold this week in Buffalo. So far when it comes to betting on the Saints, it has been a very good season. They are 6-2 ATS and they have a 47 percent on return on investment making this one of the best teams to bet on this year. Over 56 percent of the bets believe that they will continue this run this weekend against Buffalo.
The Carolina Panthers will get some extra time to prepare as they play against the Miami Dolphins on Monday night football. If the playoffs were to start today, the Panthers would make the cut and the Dolphins would be on the outside looking in. The Panthers tend to heat up in the month of November as they are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine games in the month of November.
The Falcons will host the Cowboys this week and will not have to deal with Ezekiel Elliot this week. That is a good thing considering that the Falcons run defense gave up over 200 yards on the ground to the Panthers. Matt Ryan could struggle this week against a Cowboys pass defense that has not allowed 300 yards passing this week. The Falcons are favorite although they are 0-5 against the spread in the last five games overall.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers season may just be over. They have a coach on the hot seat in his first year and they have ruled out quarterback Jameis Winston for the next two weeks with an injury. They also lost wide out Mike Evans who has to sit out this game due to a suspension. Because of this, the Bucs are 2 point underdogs at home and they are only getting 25 percent of the bets from the public.
The LA Rams are easily the biggest surprise of the season. They look good on both offense and defense and will go to the playoffs. They have also beefed up the pockets of bettors that are putting money on this team on a weekly basis. After another win and easy cover last week against the New York Giants the Rams are the best team in the league at covering the spread. The Rams cover the spread by an average of 11.8 points per game which is first in the NFL.
San Francisco 49ers
The ugliest game of the week is in San Francisco as the winless 49ers will host the New York Giants. This brings up a very interesting system play. When two teams play on the field that have less than a 25 percent win rate the favorite is just 49-67-4 against the number. The 49ers opened as favorites, but now the Giants are the favored team to fade if you want to use this system.
The Seattle Seahawks got a big road win on Thursday night over the Arizona Cardinals, but they paid a hefty price. They lost all-pro cornerback Richard Sherman for the season when he ruptured his Achilles tendon. This b rings up more scrutiny about Thursday night games and if they should play. The Seahawks also are under the spotlight on the way that they mishandled a possible concussion to quarterback Russell Wilson. The Seahawks may have won, but they have some problems that will linger into next week.
The Arizona Cardinals lost on Thursday night at home to the Seattle Seahawks. This is just another loss in what has become an awful season for the Cardinals. This has also been an ugly season at the betting window for anyone who has backed the Cardinals. On Thursday night the pushed as (+6) point underdogs which would be like a win for anyone who has consistently bet on the Cardinals this season. They have failed to cover games this week by an average of eight points per game which is the worst in the league.
Green Bay Packers
The Packers season is all but over. With Aaron Rodgers gone everyone assumed the season is over but after losing to the Lions on Monday night football it is all but assured. With Rodgers under center at the start of the year the Packers Super Bowl odds were 8 to 1 to win it all. After the Rodgers injury the odds for the Packers to win the Super Bowl are now 100 to 1 which equates to the biggest drop in the league since the season started.
The Detroit Lions will have to get ready on a short week to play, but luckily they are going up against the Cleveland Browns. While this looks like an easy win the Lions still have some problems that need to be addressed. They are 27th in red zone offense, and they are last in run blocking and have allowed quarterback Matthew Stafford to get sacked more times than every other quarterback in the league but one. This is a lot of problems for a team that is a double digit favorite this week.
The Bears are in a good spot this week coming off a bye week against the Packers who have to rebound in a short week. The Packers were averaging 27 points with Rodgers under center and have failed to get more than 17 with Hundley calling the shots. The Bears rank 8th in defense this year which includes include 11th against the pass. The Bears are just 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Packers, which makes this an important game for the Bears looking for revenge.
The Vikings are small (-1.5) point favorites this weekend against the Washington Redskins. This may be a bit surprising considering that the Redskins just beat Seattle on the road. However, the Vikings are off a bye week and they have won four in a row with the defense dominating the opposition. Over that time span they have not given up more than 17 points to any team.
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