In this AL East matchup, the Blue Jays (87-71, 41-36 home) play host to the Yankees (81-77, 39-38 away) at Rogers Centre. Taking the mound for the Blue Jays is Chris Bassitt, while the Yankees will go with Luke Weaver. Check out my pick for three of this Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees matchup.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees +158

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Thursday, September 28th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK YANKEES:

  • The Blue Jays come into this matchup on a two game home losing streak.
  • New York has the leg up over the Blue Jays so far this year at 7-5.
  • In Luke Weaver’s five most recent starts, the Yankees are 2-1.

NEW YORK YANKEES ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK

Winners of three straight games, the Yankees are in 4th place in the AL East. So far, they have a series win percentage of 49% (21-22-7). New York has gone 39-38 on the road this season compared to 42-39 at home.

Luke Weaver is making his 29th appearance of the 2023 season with a record of 3-5. His ERA stands at 6.47, while opponents are batting .297 against him. On the road, Weaver has gone 1-4 with an ERA of 6.37; he’s been more successful at home, where he is 2-1 on an ERA of 7.77. Teams have a slugging percentage of .549 when facing Weaver this season.

Luke Weaver was victorious in his most recent start, as he held the Diamondbacks scoreless while allowing four hits. The Yankees emerged triumphant with a 7-1 victory, with Weaver credited for the win.

So far this season, the Yankees’ has gone deep 218 times, placing them 7th in the league. Over New York’s previous five games, they are 17th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.2 runs per game putting them 24th in the league. The Yankees’ overall team batting average stands at .226 along with an OBP of .304.

The Yankees have seen Aaron Judge lead the way in home runs over their last five games, with two long balls. Judge has 37 dingers on the season and is hitting .269.

WILL THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

158 games into the season, the Blue Jays have a record of 87-71, putting them 3rd in the AL East. This mark includes an overall series 30-17-2. At home, they are 41-36 compared to 46-35 on the road.

Chris Bassitt is set to take the hill for Toronto, having gone six-plus innings in his last two starts. The righty has enjoyed a successful season thus far, boasting a 15-8 record and 3.74 ERA while racking up 174 strikeouts. He’s also kept his WHIP at 1.19 and limited opponents to a .305 WOBA. His only blemish is 58 walks issued over the course of the year.

Chris Bassitt recently earned a quality start and victory in his last outing, as the Athletics defeated the Rays 6-2. The right-hander allowed two runs on six hits over 6 2/3 innings.

In their five most recent games, the Blue Jays have put together a batting average of only .191, placing them 29th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.5 runs per game, Toronto is 16th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .254 and OPS of .740 which has them 14th in baseball.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the Blue Jays’ most prolific power hitter in 2023, leading the team with 26 home runs and 94 RBIs. His slugging percentage for the season is a robust .443.