In this AL East matchup, the Blue Jays (87-70, 41-35 home) play host to the Yankees (80-77, 38-38 away) at Rogers Centre. Taking the mound for the Blue Jays is José Berríos, while the Yankees will go with Gerrit Cole. Check out my pick for two of this Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees matchup.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees -110

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Wednesday, September 27th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK YANKEES:

  • In their last ten games, the Yankees have a record of 6-4.
  • The Yankees head into the game having won two straight games.
  • Over his last three starts, Gerrit Cole has an ERA of just 1.57.

NEW YORK YANKEES ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK

For the season, the Yankees are 80-77 and 77-80 against the runline. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have gone 21-29 against division opponents. On the road, New York have won four straight series. The Yankees’ season-long over/under record sits at 70-77.

The Yankees will send Gerrit Cole to the mound today, boasting a 14-4 record. The right-hander has been on a roll lately, allowing three or fewer earned runs in each of his last six starts. Cole’s ERA is 2.75 and his FIP is 3.21, while opponents have only managed to slug .324 against him this season. He has also racked up 217 strikeouts so far in 2023.

The Yankees are looking to Gerrit Cole to continue his success from the last time he pitched, when they defeated the Blue Jays 5-3. Cole was stellar in that outing, allowing only two hits and one earned run over eight innings.

This season, the Yankees are 24th in the league at 4.1 runs per game. Over their last five games, they have a combined batting average of .252 (12th) leading to 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.4 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. New York’s on-base percentage of .303 has them 21st in the MLB.

Aaron Judge has been the Yankees’ primary source of power in 2023, leading the team with 35 home runs and 71 RBIs. His slugging percentage is a robust .605 for the season.

WILL THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Through 157 games, the Blue Jays have a record of 87-70. This mark includes going 30-17-2 across their 49 series. Currently, Toronto is 3rd in the AL East and have a 41-35 record at home while going 46-35 on the road. So far, the Blue Jays have gone 40-45 against teams with above .500 records.

José Berríos has made 31 appearances this season, with an impressive .389 slugging percentage allowed and a WHIP of 1.18. His overall record stands at 11-11, with an ERA of 3.58 and 174 strikeouts – averaging 8.53 per nine innings. On the road, Berríos has gone 5-6 with an ERA of 4.40, while at home he is 6-5 with a 3.26 ERA.

José Berríos was unable to lead the Blue Jays to victory in their latest matchup with the Yankees, surrendering four earned runs and seven hits across 5 2/3 innings of work. Ultimately, Toronto fell 5-3 in the contest.

Offensively, Toronto is ranked 16th in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Blue Jays averaged 4.8 runs per contest, which is 9th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Toronto is 15th in all of baseball, with a total of 180 home runs.

George Springer has been a key contributor to the Toronto offense this season, boasting a .257 batting average and .405 slugging percentage. Over the last ten games, he has been especially productive at the plate, leading the team in hits with a .271 average.