Game three of this AL East series sees the Red Sox (73-72, 37-37 home) and Yankees (73-72, 34-36 away) facing off at Fenway Park. The starting pitcher for the Red Sox will be Tanner Houck, while the Yankees are turning to Clarke Schmidt. Find out who I like to win in this Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees showdown.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox -131
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, September 13th.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- The Red Sox have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
- So far, the Red Sox are 8-3 against the Yankees this season.
- In Clarke Schmidt’s 28 starts, the Yankees have a record of just 12-16.
NEW YORK YANKEES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST
Entering game 146 of their season, the Yankees are 18.5 games out in the AL East and are in 5th place. So far, their overall series record stands at 19-20-6. New York’s road winning percent is currently 48.6% (34-36) compared to 52.0% at home (39-36).
Clarke Schmidt has made 29 appearances this season, with a .438 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.31 WHIP. His overall record stands at 9-8, with an ERA of 4.54 and 139 strikeouts – good for 8.89 K/9 innings. On the road, Schmidt is 5-3 with an ERA of 6.70, while his home record is 4-5 with an ERA of 3.98.
Clarke Schmidt notched a victory and a quality start in his last outing, as his team emerged victorious with a 4-3 scoreline over the Tigers. He surrendered three runs and five hits over 6 1/3 frames.
Having gone deep 2 times in their last five games, the Yankees are 9th in that span. At 4.2 runs per game, New York is 23rd in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .225 while hitting a total of 203 home runs (5th).
Gleyber Torres has been a key contributor to the Yankees’ offense this season, boasting a .271 batting average and .461 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, he has been especially productive, leading New York in hits with a .278 average.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
145 games into their season, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East on an overall record of 73-72. Against other teams in the AL East, Boston is 21-20 while their overall series win percent sits at 52%. At home, the Red Sox are 37-37 and 36-35 on the road.
The Red Sox will turn to starter Tanner Houck, who has a 4-9 record this season. In 17 appearances, his ERA is 5.28 and his K/9 is 8.28. He has posted a FIP of 4.46 and an OBP of .321 thus far in the campaign.
Tanner Houck’s most recent start resulted in a loss for the Red Sox, as they fell 11-2 to the Orioles. The right-hander allowed five earned runs and eight hits over 5 1/3 innings of work.
With a season-long average of 5 runs per game, the Red Sox are the 8th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .263, with an OBP of .329. In Boston’s last ten games, they are 11th in home runs, having gone deep 11 times in that span.
Rafael Devers has been one of the Boston Red Sox’s most consistent offensive contributors in 2023. The third baseman has a .271 batting average and 94 RBIs, while also swatting 30 home runs.