The Yankees (71-72, 32-36 away) travel to take on the Red Sox (73-70, 37-35 home) in game one of this AL East matchup. Carlos Rodón is getting the start for the Yankees while Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox showdown at Fenway Park.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox -124
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, September 12th.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- The Red Sox have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Yankees are just 4-6 straight-up.
- Carlos Rodón has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 1.39 over his last two starts.
NEW YORK YANKEES SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD
Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Yankees have an overall record of 71-72. This mark includes going 16-26 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 5th in the AL East. New York’s overall series record sits at 19-19-6.
Today, New York’s Carlos Rodón will look to limit the long ball, as he has allowed a home-run in six consecutive outings. His season record stands at 2-5 with an ERA of 6.60. Rodón has tallied 41 strikeouts and a K/9 rate of 7.96, while also averaging 4.08 walks per 9 innings pitched.
Carlos Rodón was handed the defeat after giving up seven runs on eight hits in his last start against the Detroit Tigers. The Yankees ultimately succumbed to a 10-3 loss.
Over their last five games, the Yankees are ranked 16th in the league in scoring at 3 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.2 per contest puts them 24th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, New York is 21st, with an OBP currently sitting at .302. The team’s collective batting average is .225 (21st).
The Yankees may be without Oswald Peraza for today’s matchup, which would be a significant blow to their offense. Over the last ten games, Peraza has been the team’s leader in hits, batting .357. His season-long average stands at .188.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
143 games into their season, the Red Sox are 4th in the AL East on an overall record of 73-70. Against other teams in the AL East, Boston is 21-18 while their overall series win percent sits at 54%. At home, the Red Sox are 37-35 and 36-35 on the road.
Kutter Crawford takes the mound for the Red Sox with a 6-7 record. He has made 27 appearances this season, boasting an ERA of 4.36 and a K/9 of 8.97. His FIP stands at 4.18 and opposing batters have managed to get on base against him at a .286 clip.
Kutter Crawford’s last start against Tampa Bay ended in a no-decision for the righty. He threw 3 2/3 innings, giving up five runs on three hits, before the Red Sox eventually fell 8-6.
For the season, the Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 28 runs. Overall, Boston’s team batting average is .264, putting them 3rd in the MLB.
Rafael Devers has been one of the Boston Red Sox’s most potent offensive threats in 2023. The third baseman is batting .272 with 93 RBIs and 29 home runs on the season.