The Yankees (71-72, 32-36 away) travel to take on the Red Sox (73-70, 37-35 home) in game one of this AL East matchup. Randy Vásquez is getting the start for the Yankees while Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox showdown at Fenway Park.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox -143

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Tuesday, September 12th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:

  • The Yankees have gone just 2-3 in their last five games.
  • Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Yankees are just 4-6 straight-up.
  • In Randy Vásquez’s four starts, the Yankees have a record of just 1-3.

NEW YORK YANKEES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST

Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Yankees have an overall record of 71-72. This mark includes going 16-26 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 5th in the AL East. New York’s overall series record sits at 19-19-6.

Randy Vásquez has made seven appearances so far in the 2023 season, with a .343 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.16 WHIP. His overall record stands at 2-2, with an ERA of 2.36 and 22 strikeouts. He averages 7.42 strikeouts per nine innings pitched, and his record at home is 1-1 with an ERA of 1.93, while his road record is also 1-1 with an ERA of 3.44.

Randy Vásquez’s performance in the Yankees’ 10-3 loss to the Tigers resulted in a no-decision, as he allowed just one run over 2 1/3 innings of work.

The Yankees have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 4 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 5th in home runs and 19th in slugging percentage. Overall, New York is averaging 4.2 runs per game (24th).

Over the Yankees’ last ten games, Jasson Domínguez has been a powerful presence at the plate, leading the team with three home runs and boasting a season-long total of four. Despite his impressive offensive output, Domínguez’s overall batting average stands at .258. Unfortunately for New York, he is currently listed as out on the injury report.

WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Red Sox head into today’s game looking to build on their above .500 record at home (37-35). Their overall record of 73-70 has them placed 4th in the AL East. Through 44 series, the Red Sox are 22-19-3.

Nick Pivetta will take the mound for the Red Sox with an overall record of 9-8. Through 34 appearances, he has posted an ERA of 4.54 and a K/9 rate of 11.54. His FIP is 4.45 and his OBP is .292.

Nick Pivetta was on the wrong side of a 3-1 scoreline in his last start against Tampa Bay, surrendering three runs on seven hits en route to the loss.

For the season, the Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5 runs per game. Over their last five games they have swung the bats well, sitting 7th in the league in scoring, with a total of 28 runs. Overall, Boston’s team batting average is .264, putting them 3rd in the MLB.

The Red Sox’s Masataka Yoshida has been a consistent force at the plate this season, leading the team in hits with a .293 batting average. His slugging percentage is .458 and his on-base percentage is .345 entering today’s game.