The Yankees (55-49, 23-25 away) and Orioles (63-41, 31-21 home) head into game three of this AL East matchup all tied at 1-1. Luis Severino is scheduled to get the start for the Yankees against Dean Kremer for the Orioles. Check out my best bet for today’s New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles showdown.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles -129

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:10 ET on Sunday, July 30th.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:

  • In their previous ten games, the Orioles have a record of 6-4.
  • The Yankees are just 3-7 in their last ten road games.
  • Luis Severino has given up six home runs across his last four starts.

NEW YORK YANKEES HAVE STRUGGLED AGAINST THE AL EAST

On a record of 55-49, the Yankees come into today’s game 5th in the AL East. When playing at home, they are 32-24 and 23-25 on the road. New York has played in 33 series thus far, and have gone 15-12-6.

Today marks Luis Severino’s 12th outing of the season, and he holds a 2-4 record thus far. His ERA is 6.46, while his OBP allowed is .361. The right-hander has fanned 45 batters and carries a WHIP of 1.73. On the road, Severino’s ERA is 8.33 compared to 7.39 at home.

Luis Severino earned the victory in the Yankees’ 8-5 triumph over the Royals, despite surrendering three runs on eight hits.

During their last five games, New York is the 17th ranked offense in terms of batting average. In these games, they have hit a combined .240 and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. Across the entire season, the Yankees are hitting .230 with an OBP of .303 while averaging 4.4 runs per contest. This figure puts them 21st in the league.

Harrison Bader has been on a tear for the Yankees over the last five games, leading the team in hits and batting .300. He’s been a key contributor to their offense this season, boasting a .254 average and 32 RBIs.

WILL THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Heading into this divisional matchup vs. the Yankees, the Orioles have an overall record of 63-41. This mark includes going 20-13 against divisional foes. Currently, they are 1st in the AL East. Baltimore’s overall series record sits at 19-10-3.

Today marks Dean Kremer’s 22nd outing of the 2023 season, and his record stands at 10-4. His ERA is 4.59, with an opposing batting average of .313. He has tallied 104 strikeouts and a WHIP of 1.30. On the road, Kremer’s ERA is 4.54 compared to 6.35 at home.

The Orioles emerged victorious the last time Dean Kremer took the mound, beating the Phillies 3-2. Although Kremer put in a quality start, going seven innings and allowing one earned run, he was not rewarded with a win and settled for a no-decision.

Over their last five games, the Orioles are ranked 17th in the league in scoring at 2.8 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.8 per contest puts them 11th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Baltimore is 15th, with an OBP currently sitting at .317. The team’s collective batting average is .248 (15th).

Anthony Santander has been a major contributor to the Orioles’ offense in 2023. He currently holds a .256 batting average, with 57 runs batted in and 18 home runs.