Looking to win big? The Rangers and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The odds for this Eastern conference game currently have the Lightning as the -1.5 goal favorite with the over/under line sitting at 6 goals.


The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Lightning picking up a 4-3 win.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Rangers (+1.5)

Can The Rangers Secure a Win at Tampa?

On the season, the Rangers are 42-18-4 and sit in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference. In the Metropolitan Division, New York is in 1st place. Over their last ten games, the Rangers have gone 7-3, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.

When playing on the road this year, the Rangers have gone 20-10-4. As the underdog, New York has gone 9-4-2 this season. Over their last three games, the Rangers have gone 3-0.

As the underdog, the Rangers have a puck line record of 13-2 this season and 33-31 overall. Their average scoring margin for the year sits at +.6 goals per game, and they have 25 wins by multiple goals.

On the road, New York’s puck line record is 18-16, and they have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line in their last ten road games. In their last three road games, the team has gone 2-1 against the puck line.

Games involving New York have an average of 6 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.1. In terms of their over/under performance, the Rangers come in with a record of 31-30-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, New York has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.

On offense, the Rangers are averaging 3.3 goals per game which is 13th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 19th in the league. New York’s offense comes into the game ranked 9th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 22nd in the NHL.

New York’s leading goal scorer is Artemi Panarin. So far this season, he has 35 goals, placing him 8th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 50 assists so far.

Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 25th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 8th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Tampa Bay, goalie Igor Shesterkin has started 42 games in this season. His current record is 27-13, and his save percentage stands at 0.908%.

Can Tampa Bay Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

At home this season, Tampa Bay has gone 20-9-4 and has been favored in 39 of their 65 games. Overall, they have gone 34-25-6, and in the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 4-6, and they are 2-1 in their last three games. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay has gone 18-19 this season and 7-11 against divisional opponents.

At home this year, Tampa Bay has gone 18-15 vs. the puck line and 4-6 in their last ten games at home. Overall, the Lightning’s puck line record sits at 32-33, and their average scoring margin is +.1 goals per game.

So far, Tampa Bay has 24 wins by multiple goals and 23 losses by multiple goals. In their last ten games, the Lightning’s puck line record is 3-7, and they have gone 1-4 vs. the puck line in their last five games.

This season, Tampa Bay’s games are averaging 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.5. The Lightning currently have an over/under record of 31-30-4.

Across their last three road contests, New York has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 2 goals per game.

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.4 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. This season, the Lightning are 21-12 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 13-11 record.

Tampa Bay will be looking for a good game from Nikita Kucherov who leads the team in scoring with 38 goals, ranking 6th in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 69 assists.

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Rangers ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 8th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 39 starts this season. So far, his record is 22-16 and he has a save percentage of 0.789%.