The Mets (63-74, 28-41 away) travel to take on the Nationals (62-76, 29-40 home) in game one of this NL East matchup. José Quintana is getting the start for the Mets while Patrick Corbin is starting for the Nationals. See who I like to pick up the win in today’s New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals showdown at Nationals Park.

NEW YORK METS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 7:05 ET on Tuesday, September 5th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • In their last ten games, the Mets have gone 7-3 vs. the runline.
  • The Nationals have dropped four straight games vs. the runline at home.
  • Opponents are hitting just .223 against José Quintana in his last four starts.

NEW YORK METS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

With an overall record of 63-74, the Mets are 4th in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 35-33 and 28-41. So far, New York has a record of 29-29 against below .500 teams and have played in 43 series, going 15-24-4.

José Quintana has taken the mound nine times in 2023, with a record of 1-5. His ERA stands at 3.25, and opponents are hitting .250 against him. On the road, he is 1-3 with a 4.30 ERA; at home, he is 0-2 on an ERA of 1.70. Teams have mustered a slugging percentage of .320 against Quintana this season.

In his most recent outing, José Quintana tossed six scoreless frames but was unable to secure a victory as the Mets fell to the Rangers, 2-1. The lefty’s impressive performance was not enough to get his team the win, however.

Having gone deep 15 times in their last ten games, the Mets are 6th in that span. At 4.4 runs per game, New York is 20th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .238 while hitting a total of 180 home runs (11th).

Pete Alonso has been a major contributor to the Mets’ offensive success in 2023, leading the team with 41 home runs and 100 RBIs. His slugging percentage of .525 is also impressive.

WILL THE WASHINGTON NATIONALS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Washington’s record of 62-76 has them sitting 5th in the NL East. At home, the Nationals have won seven straight series. Their overall home record is 29-40. Against the runline, the Nationals are 76-62 along with an over/under record of 67-67.

Today marks Patrick Corbin’s 28th outing of the season, and his record currently stands at 9-12. His ERA is 4.90, and he has allowed a .328 OBP. Corbin has struck out 109 batters this year, with a WHIP of 1.50. When pitching away from home, his ERA is 5.41 compared to 4.72 when he takes the mound at home.

After suffering a defeat at the hands of the Blue Jays, Patrick Corbin endured a difficult outing in which he yielded six runs on 10 hits across five innings.

So far this season, the Nationals’ has gone deep 127 times, placing them 24th in the league. Over Washington’s previous five games, they are 19th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.3 runs per game putting them 21st in the league. The Nationals’ overall team batting average stands at .257 along with an OBP of .316.

Lane Thomas has been a major contributor to the Nationals’ offense this season, leading the team with 23 home runs over their last five games. He has also maintained an impressive .285 batting average.