Last Updated: 2019-05-15
Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets will take the field against their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The action will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be televising the game.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-160) is favored over New York (+150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-145) and Nationals -1.5 (+125).
The Nationals are 16-25 straight up (SU) and 15-25 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, have gone 20-20 SU this year and are 21-18 ATS. They’re down 5.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have gained 1.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Nationals games have a 20-18-2 over/under record so far in 2019. Mets games have gone over 21 times, gone under 16 times and pushed on two occasions.
The right-handed Wilmer Font is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Font (1-0, 5.50 ERA) has racked up 19 strikeouts in 17 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Patrick Corbin (3-1, 3.20 ERA), who’s got 58 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.11. Corbin is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.75 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a 6.20 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 18 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.50.
Washington’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .166/.225/.255 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Eaton is hitting .274/.337/.384 with three home runs, 11 RBIs, 22 runs and five stolen bases, while the line for Robles stands at .250/.300/.453 with seven homers, 16 RBIs, 26 runs and eight stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.75, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Mets hitters have slashed .249/.331/.403 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario. McNeil is slashing .352/.439/.486 with 50 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .284/.325/.426 with 42 hits, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 0.8 units and are 6-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 9.3 units and are 12-19 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Washington Nationals MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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The over has hit in just two of New York’s last seven contests.
The Mets have an OPS of .734 this season, including an OPS of .771 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Nationals’ OPS stands at .703 overall and .802 against southpaws.
The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.
New York fielders have committed three errors over the last five contests, compared to zero errors for Washington over its last five.
The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.