Dallas Keuchel will get the start for the Twins (73-67, 40-29 home) as they host the Mets (64-75, 29-42 away) at Target Field. The Mets will give the starting nod to Kodai Senga. Check out my prediction for game one of this interleague matchup between the New York Mets and Minnesota Twins.

NEW YORK METS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins -105

This game will be played at Target Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, September 8th.

WHY BET THE MINNESOTA TWINS:

  • The Twins have gone 3-2 in their five games at home.
  • In their ten most recent games as the favorite, the Mets have gone just 4-6 straight-up.
  • Across Dallas Keuchel’s four starts, the Twins have put together a record of 3-1.

NEW YORK METS SEEK TO IMPROVE THEIR ROAD RECORD

On a record of 64-75, the Mets come into today’s game 4th in the NL East. When playing at home, they are 35-33 and 29-42 on the road. New York has played in 45 series thus far, and have gone 16-24-5.

Kodai Senga is set to make his 26th appearance of the season today, boasting a 10-7 record. His ERA stands at 3.08 with an OBP allowed of .291, while he has struck out 176 batters and holds a WHIP of 1.23. On the road, Senga’s ERA is 4.27 compared to 2.87 at home.

Kodai Senga was unable to secure the victory in his most recent start, despite completing a quality start. In the Yankees’ 2-1 victory over Seattle, he tossed seven innings and allowed one earned run.

Over their last ten games, the Mets are ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.4 per contest puts them 19th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, New York is 12th, with an OBP currently sitting at .318. The team’s collective batting average is .239 (19th).

Brandon Nimmo has been a key contributor to the New York offense this season, boasting a .265 batting average and .454 slugging percentage. Over the team’s last ten games, he has been particularly impressive, leading the Mets in hits with a .374 average.

WILL THE MINNESOTA TWINS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

As the Twins head into today’s game vs. the Mets, they have the top spot in the AL Central with an overall record of 73-67. Currently, their home/away splits sit at 40-29 and 33-38, respectively. Through 44 series, they have gone 21-18-5.

The Minnesota Twins will look to Dallas Keuchel to take the mound. The veteran starter has a 1-1 record in five outings this season, with an ERA of 5.06 and a K/9 of 3.38. Additionally, his FIP is 4.85 and opponents have a .344 OBP against him.

In his last outing against the Texas Rangers, Dallas Keuchel allowed five runs on five hits over 3 1/3 innings. Although he did not factor into the decision, Keuchel’s efforts helped the Twins to a 9-7 win.

The Twins have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 18 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 6th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 5th in home runs and 10th in slugging percentage. Overall, Minnesota is averaging 4.6 runs per game (14th).

The Twins’ Carlos Correa leads the team in hits, boasting a .229 batting average. His slugging percentage is .396 and on-base percentage is .310 heading into this game.