New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick 09/21/19

The New York Mets will be squaring off against the Cincinnati Reds. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 is in line to broadcast this NL matchup.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-125) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+115). If you think the game’s total will go under 9 runs, then Vegas is putting up -115 odds. Picking the over can give you -105 odds. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+120) and Reds +1.5 runs (-140).

The Mets have gone 80-73 SU this year and are 79-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 72-82 SU and 82-71 ATS. The team has lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.8 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Reds games have a 57-88-8 over/under record in 2019. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-64-12.

Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Wheeler is 11-7 with a 4.09 ERA and 179 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Cincinnati this year.

The Reds are turning to righty Anthony DeSclafani (9-9, 3.93 ERA), who has 155 punchouts and 47 walks, along with a 1.20 WHIP. DeSclafani is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.87 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.13, along with a K-per-9 of 9.54.

The Mets offense has slashed .258/.330/.442 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil continue to lead New York’s hitters. Rosario is slashing .286/.323/.431 with 14 home runs, 66 RBIs, 72 runs and 17 stolen bases, while McNeil has a .321 average with 23 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

For the home team, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters have produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .217/.301/.343 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Reds’ offense has been led by third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Suarez is hitting .272/.353/.579 with 48 home runs, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .287/.313/.408 with 11 homers, 54 RBIs and 59 runs.

The Mets have lost 0.3 units and are 58-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 59 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 62-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 66 that went under.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER