The Mets (46-52, 23-30 away) and Red Sox (52-47, 27-23 home) square off in three of this interleague series. Brennan Bernardino will take the mound for the Red Sox against Carlos Carrasco for the Mets. See who I like to come out on top in this New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox showdown in Boston.
NEW YORK METS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox -148
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Sunday, July 23rd.
WHY BET THE BOSTON RED SOX:
- The Mets have gone just 4-6 in their last ten games.
- Over their previous five games as the underdog, the Mets are just 1-4 straight-up.
- In Carlos Carrasco’s 13 starts, the Mets have a record of just 6-7.
NEW YORK METS LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS
Through 98 games, the Mets have a record of 46-52. This mark includes going 11-17-4 across their 32 series. Currently, New York is 4th in the NL East and have a 23-22 record at home while going 23-30 on the road. So far, the Mets have gone 27-31 against teams with above .500 records.
Carlos Carrasco has had a mixed start to the 2023 season, with an overall record of 3-3 and an ERA of 5.34. On the road, he has gone 2-2 with a 4.54 ERA, while at home he has posted a 1-1 record and 8.06 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.45 and opposing teams have hit .252 against him with a .454 slugging percentage.
Carlos Carrasco’s most recent start against the White Sox saw him surrender four runs and six hits over 4 2/3 innings, though he was not credited with a decision as the Mets emerged victorious 11-10.
As a team, New York has scuffled at the plate of late, with a combined batting average of just .180 over their last ten games. Compared to other teams, this is just 30th in that span. When looking at the team’s power numbers, they have a season-long slugging percentage of .401% while going deep a total of 123 times (10th). Overall, the Mets are 18th in the MLB at 4.5 runs per contest.
Jeff McNeil has been a key contributor to the Mets’ offense this season, entering the game with a .248 batting average and .322 slugging percentage. In the team’s last ten games, McNeil has been particularly impressive, leading New York in hits and batting an impressive .181.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Red Sox have put together a record of 52-47 and are 4th in the AL East, putting them 8.5 games out of first place. Boston’s overall series record sits at 17-12-3. On the road, they have gone 25-24 and 27-23 at home.
Brennan Bernardino has made 29 appearances in the 2023 season, with a record of 1-0. His ERA stands at 2.48, and batters are hitting .213 against him. On the road, he is yet to be defeated with an ERA of 2.77, while at home his record is 1-0 and his ERA is 3.30. Teams have a slugging percentage of .303 when facing Bernardino this year.
Pitching one inning and allowing one run, Brennan Bernardino was credited with the decision in the Red Sox’s 5-4 loss to the Mets.
Offensively, Boston is ranked 5th in the league with an average of 5 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Red Sox averaged 4.8 runs per contest, which is 10th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Boston is 16th in all of baseball, with a total of 110 home runs.
Triston Casas has been a major contributor to the Red Sox’s offense this season, as his 14 home runs over the course of 2023 lead the team. In their last ten games alone, Casas has hit five homers, while also maintaining an overall batting average of .244.