New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 09/22/19

Amed Rosario and the New York Mets will square off against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL showdown will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the game.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds

New York (-110) is favored over Cincinnati (+100) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for playing the game’s total sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. There’s a runline of Mets -1.5 (+135) and Reds +1.5 (-155) for this matchup.

The Mets have gone 80-74 SU this year and are 80-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 0.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 73-82 SU and 82-72 ATS. The team has lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Reds games have a 58-88-8 over/under record in 2019. Mets games have gone over 77 times, gone under 64 times and pushed on 12 occasions.

The right-handed Marcus Stroman is getting the start for the visiting Mets. Stroman is 9-13 with a 3.21 ERA and 149 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Reds will send righty Trevor Bauer (11-12, 4.41 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 245 strikeouts and 82 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Bauer did not register a start against the Mets in 2018.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.00, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.316/.311 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Eugenio Suarez and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Suarez is hitting .273/.354/.578 with 48 home runs, 102 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .287/.314/.407 with 11 homers, 55 RBIs and 60 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.85 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.14, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 9.56.

Mets hitters have slashed .257/.329/.440 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and left fielder Jeff McNeil continue to lead New York’s hitters. Rosario is slashing .287/.323/.432 with 14 home runs, 66 RBIs, 72 runs and 17 stolen bases, while McNeil (.318/.387/.535) has produced 23 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored.

The Mets have gained 0.7 units and are 59-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 60 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 1.9 units and are 62-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 44 of those games, compared to 66 which went under the total.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER