New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks Free Pick 12/02/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-12-02

The Milwaukee Bucks (17-3) will attempt to prolong their 11-game winning streak against the stumbling New York Knicks (4-16) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220.5 points with Milwaukee opening as a 16-point favorite. Action starts at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, December 2, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Preview

The Knicks fell to the Boston Celtics in their last matchup, 113-104. They were unable to cover as 6-point underdogs. Julius Randle had a solid game for New York, leading the team in scoring with 26 points on 8-for-16 shooting. Boston had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.0 (above their season average of 22.9). New York, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (26-37; 70.3 percent). The two teams combined to put up 217 points, which finished over the projected point total of 209.

The last time the Bucks played, they comfortably covered the 14-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets, 137-96. Milwaukee rallied around Robin Lopez, who contributed 13 points and six rebounds. Milwaukee played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 6.4 (better than their season average of 12.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.667 (above their season average of 0.550). Charlotte was 10.3 and 0.441, respectively, for those same stats. The two clubs combined to record 233 points, which came in over the O/U total of 226.

The prolific offense of Milwaukee (third in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.0) will clash against the porous defense of New York (23rd in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 110.1). The Bucks figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Also, the Knicks, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (25.8 percent), will clash against the Bucks, who rank second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.9 percent).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games involving New York have finished under 68.4 percent of the time, while 55.0 percent of Milwaukee games have gone over. The Bucks have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (17-3 vs. 4-16), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Milwaukee is 9-11, while New York is 9-9-1 ATS.

This is the first time these teams will clash this year, after the Bucks won three out of four games last season. In the most recent game, Milwaukee won 112-96. The Bucks played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.183 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0. The Knicks were 0.113 and 17.9, respectively, for those same stats.

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks Odds Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points per game (18.8) while New York ranks 27th (10.3).

Milwaukee ranks first in rebounds per game (51.4) while New York ranks 18th (44.8).

The Bucks rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Knicks rank 14th (12.8).

Milwaukee is 4-5 ATS at home, while New York is 5-4 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Over its last five games, New York is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 15.4, up from 10.8 for the season.

During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 100.4 points per game (1.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average).

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