New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks Free Pick 11/08/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-08

The New York Knicks (1-7) can put an end to a five-game road losing streak when they square off with the Dallas Mavericks (5-2) at American Airlines Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points with Dallas set as an 11-point favorite. Action begins at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019, and it can be seen on MSG Network.

New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds Preview

The Knicks got blown out by the Detroit Pistons in their last outing, 122-102. They failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. RJ Barrett had a solid performance for New York, contributing 15 points, eight assists and six rebounds. Detroit held the Knicks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.5 (below their season average of 25.9). New York, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (12.7 vs. 15.2). The two teams combined to put up 224 points, which was well over the O/U total of 205.5.

In the Mavericks’ previous outing, they slipped past the Orlando Magic, 107-106, but they were not able to cover as 7-point favorites. With 27 points on 10-for-21 shooting, Luka Doncic was the game’s leading scorer. Dallas played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 14.9 (worse than their season average of 12.0) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1 (above their season average of 24.2). Orlando put up marks of 16.3 and 24.4, respectively, for those same stats. The two squads combined to account for 213 points, which came in over the O/U total of 207.5.

Each team won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Mavericks won the last contest 114-90. Dallas had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (19.4 vs. 10.6). New York, on the other hand, did a terrific job of making free throws (20-28; 71.4 percent).

These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games including New York have gone under 75.0 percent of the time, while 71.4 percent of Dallas games have finished over. The Mavericks have the better straight up (SU) record (5-2 vs. 1-7), but the Knicks hold the significant advantage against the spread (ATS) (4-4 vs. 3-4).

The aggressive Dallas offense might be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. Since the 2018-19 season, the Mavericks rank fifth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.217, while New York has been among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 20th-ranked FTA rate of 0.206).

New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Knicks rank 13th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Mavericks rank 27th (4.3).

Dallas ranks 23rd in points in the paint per game (44.7) while New York ranks 26th (43.8).

Dallas ranks 22nd in assists per game (23.5) while New York ranks last (20.0).

New York is 26th in the NBA with 15.0 points off turnovers per game while Dallas is 28th with 14.6 points off turnovers per game.

In games where they allow under 100 points, New York is 5-2 and Dallas is 11-4.

When scoring over 100 points, the Knicks are 17-41 and the Mavericks are 37-39.

The Knicks rank 24th in steals per game (6.9) while the Mavericks rank 29th (6.4).

New York ranks fifth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Dallas ranks last (16.7).

The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while the Knicks rank 25th (29.5).

The Mavericks average 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks 17th in the league. The Knicks rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).

Dallas ranks 12th in rebounds allowed per game (44.9) while New York ranks 29th (47.4).

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