The New York Knicks (20-45) will try to put an end to a five-game road losing streak when they take on the Atlanta Hawks (20-46) at State Farm Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 230 points with Atlanta opening as a 4.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast.
New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Preview
The Knicks were beaten by the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 122-115. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. With 20 points on 6-for-9 shooting, Frank Ntilikina was New York’s leading scorer. Washington did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (38-45; 84.4 percent). New York, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.568 (above their season average of 0.499). The two teams combined to score 237 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 211.5.
The last time the Hawks were in action, they covered the 4.5-point spread against the Charlotte Hornets, 143-138. Atlanta received a boost from Trae Young, who led the team in scoring with 31 points on 11-for-25 shooting. The Hawks had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 30.8 (above their season average of 21.4) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.661 (above their season average of 0.513). Combined, the two clubs scored 281 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 222.
It will be a showdown of opposite paces as the fast-paced Hawks will look to push the more half-court-oriented Knicks. The Hawks rank fourth in possessions per game while the Knicks are 20th. Additionally, the Knicks rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.0 percent), while the Hawks rank 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.8 percent).
Of New York’s 64 games that accepted bets, 35 have finished under the O/U total, while 38 of Atlanta’s 66 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have awful straight up (SU) records (20-45 for New York; 20-46 for Atlanta), but the Knicks have the edge against the spread (ATS). New York is 33-29-2 ATS, while the Hawks are 30-35-1.
Both teams have had a player trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Knicks, it’s been RJ Barrett, who has averaged 18 points,3.6 assists, while the Hawks have received great contributions from Kevin Huerter (14 points,6.2 assists,1.6 steals).
These two teams have met twice already this year, each winning once. Young scored a game-high 48 points in the most recent contest, in which the Hawks defeated the Knicks 140-135, resulting in a push. He also recorded 13 assists. The two teams combined to score 275 points, which was 50 points above the projected point total of 225 points. Atlanta was effective at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Hawks made 28 of their 31 free throws (90.3 percent), while the Knicks were 18-25 (72.0 percent).
New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
The Knicks rank seventh in rebounds per game (46.5) while the Hawks rank 27th in rebounds allowed per game (47.0).
Atlanta ranks 18th in fast break points per game (12.9) while New York ranks 29th (9.1).
New York ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Atlanta ranks 28th (8.9).
New York ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7) while Atlanta ranks 29th (19.4).
New York is 16-14-1 ATS on the road with 16 overs and 15 unders.
At home, Atlanta is 20-12-1 ATS with 19 overs and 14 unders.
Atlanta is 4-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New York is 8-3.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Hawks are 20-38 and the Knicks are 16-29.
The Knicks rank 18th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Hawks rank 29th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
New York ranks first in second chance points per game (15.4) while Atlanta ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (15.1).
The Knicks rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.7) while the Hawks rank 28th (53.5).
The Hawks rank 18th in assists per game (23.9) while the Knicks rank 27th (21.9).
Atlanta ranks eighth in three pointers attempted per game (36.0) while New York ranks 29th (28.4).
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, New York is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 8.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average).