The New York Knicks (18-20), 5-point underdogs, will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to meet the Miami Heat (20-17). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 201 points and it will air on Fox Sports Sun at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 5, 2018.
New York Knicks at Miami Heat ATS Odds
In their last matchup, the Heat were victorious over the Detroit Pistons, 111-104, while the Knicks got blown out by the Washington Wizards, 121-103.
The Heat held the Pistons to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.8 (below their season average of 23.8) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.613 (above their season average of 0.525). New York, on the other hand, held Washington to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.6 (below their season average of 22.7). Kelly Olynyk had a solid performance for Miami, putting up 25 points and 13 rebounds. Michael Beasley was a key piece for New York with 20 points and nine rebounds.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Knicks games, with 20 unders compared to 17 overs. New York holds records of 18-20 straight up (SU) and 20-18 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Heat have typically gone under the total (59.5 percent). Additionally, Miami owns records of 20-17 SU and 16-19-2 ATS.
Josh Richardson and Goran Dragic have been playing well over the last five games for Miami. Richardson has averaged 17.2 points, 3.8 assists and 1.2 steals, while Dragic has put up 14.6 points, 4.6 assists and 1.4 steals a game during that span.
In their first matchup this year, Enes Kanter led the Knicks to a 115-86 victory. He notched a double-double with 22 points and 14 rebounds. The two teams combined for 201 points, which was under the projected point total of 207, and New York covered as a 2-point favorite. New York made good use of their 26 trips to the free throw line, converting on 22 of them (84.6 percent). Miami, meanwhile, was just 12-20 (60.0 percent).
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
The Heat rank 19th in steals per game (7.4) while the Knicks rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
New York ranks second in second chance points per game (14.8) while Miami ranks last (9.5).
The Heat rank fourth in assists allowed per game (20.7) while the Knicks rank 15th (22.6).
Miami ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (9.4) while New York ranks 12th (10.6).
Miami ranks 12th in blocks per game (4.8) while New York ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
The Heat rank first in three pointers allowed per game (25.2) while the Knicks rank 28th (31.2).
The Knicks rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (41.3) while the Heat rank 11th (42.1).
Miami averages 15.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 22nd in the NBA. New York ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.4).
New York ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (46.7) while Miami ranks 26th (40.5).
Miami is 13-3 when they allow under 100 points, while New York is 8-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Heat are 15-6 and the Knicks are 17-9.
New York is 5-11 ATS on the road, while Miami is 5-11-2 ATS at home.
The Knicks have 8 unders, 7 overs and 1 push in 16 road games.
The Heat have 10 unders, 7 overs and 1 push in 18 home games.
In their last five games, New York and Miami have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Heat are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Knicks are 1-4.
The Heat’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.6, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 98.6 points per game (4.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.0 points per game (3.0 above their season average).