We have nine NFL games scheduled for Sunday, October 23, and this conference encounter in Denver is one of them, so feel free to take a look at the best Jets vs. Broncos betting pick and odds.

New York is looking for the fourth consecutive win and Denver is desperate to avoid the fourth loss in a row when they meet at Empower Field at Mile High. There are no favorites in this game, while the total is set at 43.5 points on BetOnline Sportsbook. These AFC rivals have met once in 2021, and the Broncos won that game 26-0 in Denver.

Jets are red-hot at the moment

The New York Jets (4-2, 4-2 ATS) are one of the most pleasant surprises in the NFL after the opening third of the season. They did suffer a couple of home defeats to open this campaign with a 1-2 record, but the Jets connected three victories to improve to the second-best record in the AFC. The Jets beat the Steelers and Dolphins, perhaps expected, but then upset the Green Bay Packers 27-10 on the road. New York’s excellent defense and great run offense propelled them to a convincing victory.

Zach Wilson completed ten of 18 passes for 110 yards. Breece Hall was dominant on the ground with a game-high 116 rushing yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. Wideout Braxton Berrios also scored a rushing TD, his second in many games. The Jets didn’t use their pass offense much; Corey Davis led the team with 52 yards on two catches. On defense, Quincy Williams and C.J. Mosley played a vital role with 25 combined tackles, while Quinnen Williams registered a pair of sacks.

DE Jermaine Johnson II sat out the last game with an ankle injury, and it is unknown if he will take on the Broncos on Sunday.

Broncos suffered another OT loss

The Denver Broncos (2-4, 2-4 ATS) lost four games this season, three of which by a 3-point margin or less. They are now on a three-game losing streak after suffering another overtime loss, this time to the divisional foes Los Angeles Chargers on the road. Denver got to an early 10-0 lead, but the hosts quickly responded and we had an equal game for the rest of the regulation. A turnover by special teamer Montrell Washington and muffed punt in OT set the game-winning field goal for the Chargers, and Dustin Hopkins, who carried an injury throughout the game, won it 19-16 for the hosts.

Russell Wilson played well in the first half but disappeared in the second. After opening the tilt with ten completions out of ten tries, Wilson finished the game with 15/28 for 188 yards and a touchdown. The rookie tight end caught that TD pass in his first MLB game. Jerry Jeudy led the team in receiving yards with 54, while Latavius Murray was solid on the ground with game-high 66 yards on 15 attempts. On defense, linebacker Alex Singleton was a monster with career-high 21 tackles. His 19 solo tackles are by far the league-high this season.

DE Randy Gregory (knee), CB Ronald Darby (ACL), T Garett Bolles (leg), WR Tim Patrick (knee), and RB Javonte Williams (knee) are out for the season. QB Russell Wilson (hamstring) and LB Josey Jewell (knee) are questionable to feature against the Jets on Sunday.

Trends:

New York:

  • 6-14 ATS in the last 20 games vs. a team with a losing record
  • 2-5 ATS in the last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Denver:

  • 12-4 ATS in the last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game

New York Jets and Denver Broncos Pick  

I know that the Jets are red-hot at the moment, but Denver’s season is on the line here and it’s a must-win game for the Broncos after a couple of unlucky OT defeats. It’s true that the Broncos’ offense doesn’t work and Russell Wilson is banged up, but they will rely heavily on their defense, which is the fourth-best in the NFL. While Denver averages the league-lowest 15.2 ppg, its defense is allowing only 16.5 ppg. The Jets like to combine pas and run offense, and the Broncos are strong defensively against both, especially at home, which is pretty much the biggest reason I am backing the hosts to win.

Pick: Take the Broncos to win (-110)

The Total

Considering how Denver is playing this year, seeing more than 38 points here would be a miracle. The Broncos scored just 25 points in the last two games, and even though the Jets were quite efficient of late, their offense surely didn’t face such a defensive force yet this season. I expect to see a lot of field goals, so an attractive odds of +155 on Over 3.5 field goals is something you should look at. Under is 4-1 in the last five H2H meetings in Denver; Under is 5-1 in the Broncos’ previous six games overall, while Under is 4-1 in Denver’s last five home games.

Pick: Go Under 38.5 points (-110)