Betting on today’s Islanders and Maple Leafs game? Catch the action at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON, as the Maple Leafs hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6.5 goals, with the Maple Leafs being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Islanders.

NEW YORK ISLANDERS VS TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, February 5th.

WHY BET THE TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS:

  • With a 1.5-goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Maple Leafs to secure a 4-3 victory.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Islanders (+1.5)

Can the Islanders Offense Score Enough in Toronto?

Heading into tonight’s game, the Islanders are in 9th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 20-17-12. In the Metropolitan Division, they are in 4th place. Over their last ten games, they have gone just 2-8, and they have dropped three straight games.

On the road this year, New York has gone 8-11-5, and they have gone 13-15 against Eastern Conference opponents. As the underdog, they have gone 9-9-8 this season.

On the road this year, the Islanders have a puck line record of 13-11, and they come into this game with a puck line record of 23-26 overall. So far, the team’s average scoring margin is -.5 goals per game, and they have 14 losses by more than one goal.

As the underdog, the Islanders have a puck line record of 18-8, and their average scoring differential in those games is -.8 goals per game. In their last 10 games, the team’s puck line record is just 2-8, and their overall puck line losing streak is at six games.

On average, New York’s games have finished with 6.3 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6. In total, the Islanders come in with an over/under record of 27-19-3.

When looking at their past three road matchups, New York has an puck line record of 0-3 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Islanders are averaging 2.9 goals per game this season, putting them in the 23rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 20th in the league. This year, the Islanders have recorded a 6-6 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 14-11 record.

New York’s leading goal scorer is Brock Nelson. So far this season, he has 21 goals, placing him 29th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Nelson has 17 assists this season.

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 20th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.3 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 4th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Ilya Sorokin comes into the game having made 34 starts this season. So far, his record is 14-12 and he has a save percentage of 1.0%.

Do the Maple Leafs Have a Shot at a Home Win?

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-9-2, and they are 21-10-7 as the favorite this year. Over their last five games, Toronto has gone 4-1, and they are currently on a three-game winning streak. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Maple Leafs are in 6th place, and in the Atlantic Division, they sit in 4th place.

So far this season, Toronto has accumulated 58 points, and their overall record is 25-14-8. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Maple Leafs have gone 10-15, and they are 6-8 in divisional matchups. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 5-5, and they have won three straight games as the favorite.

At home, the Maple Leafs are just 7-15 vs. the puck line and have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line. Overall, Toronto is just 15-32 vs. the puck line, including going 2-1 vs. the puck line in their last three games.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have 13 wins by multiple goals and 12 wins by just one goal. In their 38 games as the favorite, Toronto has gone just 9-29 vs. the puck line.

The average goal total for Toronto’s games is sitting at 6.7. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 24-21-2.

Although New York has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 0-3. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.

On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 7th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 8th in the league. This year, the Maple Leafs have recorded a 13-6 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 11-7 record.

The leading scorer for Toronto’s offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 40 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 18 assists.

In terms of defense, the Maple Leafs head into the game ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.3 shots per game against Toronto. So far, they are 4th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. New York, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 19 games in this season. His current record is 8-3, and his save percentage stands at 0.495%.