New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick
- Updated: October 21, 2012
Date/Time: October 21st, 8:20 P.M. ET
NFL Odds from Bookmaker
Point Spread: New Orleans -2.5
NFL Betting Game Trends
New Orleans Saints
- New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans’s last 10 games
- New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
- New Orleans is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games
- Tampa Bay is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
- Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games at home
Two teams that are in the gutter right now in the NFC South are going to meet in NFL betting action on Sunday, when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium.
New Orleans is getting a ton of public action this week, and that’s hoping that QB Drew Brees is going to have another big time game. Brees is on a clip this year to break the NFL record for passes completed, passes attempted, and passing yards in a single season this year, and he has had no choice knowing that the ground game in more games than not has been non-existent, and the defense looks like a sieve. LB Jonathan Vilma could be back in the fold this week for the first time, and that would be a huge accomplishment for a man that was supposed to be suspended for the whole season and started the year on the PUP list. Still, the Saints have a lot of work to do and need a lot of warm bodies to improve upon a defense that is ranked dead last in the NFL, allowing 456.0 yards and third to last at 30.8 points per game.
Tampa Bay is actually a game up on the Saints right now and is only a game and a half back from the playoffs. However, there is clearly a heck of a lot to be done if the Bucs are going to ultimately complete for the second season. QB Josh Freeman is coming off of his best game of the season by far, as he threw for 328 yards and three TDs against the Kansas City Chiefs. Needless to say, there was no doubt that that game was going to be won with numbers like that, knowing that QB Brady Quinn was playing against Tampa Bay. The good news for the Bucs is that they should continue to shut down the run this week against the Saints, as they are allowing just 75.0 points per game on the ground, good for fourth in the league. The big issue though, is the secondary. DB Aqib Talib is out for the next several weeks after getting busted with Adderall in his system, and that is killing a unit that is already second to last in the league, allowing 312.2 pass yards per game.
Still, with over 70% of the action on the Saints, it’s awfully hard to not want to back the Bucs in this one. They have the home field advantage, and they might be the better of the two teams holistically when push comes to shove. This has been a rather level series over the course of the last three years, and that very well could turn out to be the case in this one as well. Tampa Bay 28 – New Orleans 24