At 7:30 ET, the Raptors (23-38) will host the Pelicans (36-25) in a non-conference matchup. The Pelicans are favored by 8.5 and the over/under is set at 228.5.

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. New Orleans is 5th in the West, while Toronto is 12th in the East.


The Pick: Toronto Raptors +8.5

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 115-110 in favor of the Raptors.
  • Our projections have RJ Barrett finishing with RJ Barrett points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Raptors finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.3% and knocking down 10 threes.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Favored New Orleans?

In their last game, the Pelicans easily covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites with a 129-102 win over the Pacers. The O/U line for that game was 239 points.

New Orleans is currently 36-25 on the season, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place.

This season, the Pelicans have gone 33-28 against the spread, including an 18-15 record on the road. As the favorite, they are 18-18 ATS on the road and 23-13 overall.

On the road, the Pelicans have an average scoring differential of +3.0 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 228.5 is just below their season average of 229.9.

New Orleans has hit the under in their last five games, and their season record is 27-34. This year, 24 of their games have had lower over/under lines than 228.5.

The Pelicans are also 2-0 ATS as the favorite heading into today’s game. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +8.1 PPG.

So far this season, the Pelicans are averaging 116.2 points per game (14th) but have scored slightly less on the road at 115.4 points per game (14th). In terms of pace, they are 18th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans are 9th in field goal percentage at 48%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 12th in the league at 55%. However, they are just 23rd in three-point attempts per game (32.3) and are hitting 37% of their threes (5th).

So far, the Pelicans have made an average of 18.1 free throws per game (12th). In terms of assists, they are 11th in the league at 26.9 per game.

So far, the Pelicans defense is giving up 111.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 8th in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in three straight matchups. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pelicans are forcing 12.7 per game, which is 15th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 21st in blocked shots at 4.9 per game.

Can the Raptors Hold Strong at Home?

Toronto is 23-38 this season after a 111-106 win over the Hornets. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 12th place and 5th in the Atlantic Division.

The Raptors have an ATS record of 29-32 for the season, including going 13-18 ATS at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last three home games and are 11-29 as underdogs this season.

Toronto’s O/U record for the season is 32-28-1, and the under has hit in their last two games. This year, their games have averaged 232 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5.

On average, the Raptors are 1.6 points per game worse than their opponents at home. Against the spread, they are 13-18 at home.

In the Eastern Conference, the Raptors are 16-23 compared to 7-15 against non-conference opponents. On the road, they are 10-20 compared to 13-18 at home.

This season, the Raptors have been a high-scoring team, averaging 114.4 points per game. However, they have struggled to score at home, where they are averaging just 111.6 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Toronto is 14th in the league with an average of 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 47%, which is 15th in the NBA.

So far, the Raptors have been one of the top teams in terms of two-point shooting. They are 5th in the league in two-pointers made per game but have struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 35% of their three-point attempts.

Coming into the game, the Raptors’ defense is giving up an average of 117.6 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 59.0% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Raptors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.0% and allowing 37.1% from beyond the arc.