The Toronto Raptors (6-4) will be 4.5-point favorites at home in Air Canada Centre when they square off against the New Orleans Pelicans (6-5). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214.5 points and it will air on CTV Sportsnet Toronto at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 9, 2017.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Raptors defeated the Chicago Bulls 119-114, while the Pelicans beat the Indiana Pacers 117-112.
New Orleans dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.586 (above their season average of 0.509) and a free throw rate of 0.172 (matching their season average). Indiana was 0.522 and 0.161, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Chicago. The Raptors had a rate of 0.623 (above their season average of 0.521), while the Bulls posted a mark of 0.569. Jonas Valanciunas had a solid outing for Toronto with 21 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, New Orleans was led by Anthony Davis, who recorded 37 points and 14 rebounds.
It will be a showdown of opposite styles as the fast-paced Pelicans will look to push the more grind-it-out Raptors. The Pelicans currently rank seventh in possessions per game while the Raptors are 18th.
A little over half of the Pelicans’ games have finished under the total. New Orleans comes into the game with records of 6-5 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Raptors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Moreover, Toronto is 6-4 SU and 6-4 ATS.
Davis has really been playing well recently for New Orleans, averaging 30.0 points, 12.6 rebounds and 2.6 blocks over the last five games.
The Raptors dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, Toronto won 94-87. Toronto’s 0.184 free throw rate was their largest strength over New Orleans, who had a mark of 0.125. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
The Raptors average 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 14th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
Toronto ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (25.8) while New Orleans ranks 20th (30.4).
The Pelicans average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Raptors rank 21st in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
New Orleans ranks fifth in assists per game (24.1) while Toronto ranks 16th (21.9).
Toronto ranks fourth in steals per game (8.6) while New Orleans ranks 10th (8.4).
The Pelicans rank second in points in the paint per game (51.3) while the Raptors rank 17th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.4).
The Pelicans rank 13th in fast break points per game (9.7) while the Raptors rank 22nd in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
Toronto ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.3) while New Orleans ranks 16th (17.5).
In games where they allow under 100 points, Toronto is 3-0 and New Orleans is 2-0.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Raptors are 5-2 and the Pelicans are 4-1.
Toronto is 2-2 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 5-2 ATS on the road.
The Pelicans have 4 unders and 3 overs in 7 road games.
In 4 home games, the Raptors have 3 overs and 1 under.
The Pelicans are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 2-3.
In their last five games, New Orleans has 4 unders and 1 over, while Toronto has 3 overs and 2 unders.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 101.8 points per game (4.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (3.2 below their season average).
The Raptors have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Toronto has defeated opponents by an average of 5.0 points.