The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-22) will be at home in the Target Center when they take on the New Orleans Pelicans (20-22). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 234 points with Minnesota set as a 2-point favorite. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and it can be seen on Fox Sports – North.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Preview
The last time the Pelicans played, they beat the Cleveland Cavaliers, 140-124, covering as 14.5-point favorites. Anthony Davis was the game’s high scorer with 38 points on 11-for-17 shooting. New Orleans played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 25.6) and a free throw rate of 0.429 (above their season average of 0.215). For those same stats, Cleveland put up marks of 21.4 and 0.295, respectively. The two teams combined to score 264 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 225.
The Timberwolves failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites in their 119-115 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Karl-Anthony Towns was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 12-for-21 shooting. Dallas had a turnover percentage of 6.1 (better than their season average of 13.8). Minnesota, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.7 (above their season average of 24.6). Combined, the two clubs scored 234 points, which finished over the projected point total of 229.
Minnesota could put on a ball-control clinic in this showdown. Minnesota ranks third in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while New Orleans forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (12.7 percent). Furthermore, the Pelicans could control the offensive glass in this showdown as they rank fourth in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.7 percent. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, rank 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.3 percent).
Of New Orleans’ 42 games, 22 have finished over the projected point total, while 21 of Minnesota’s 41 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (20-22 for New Orleans; 20-22 for Minnesota), but the Timberwolves have the edge against the spread (ATS). Minnesota is 22-19 ATS, while the Pelicans are 19-23.
Towns has taken his game to another level recently for Minnesota, averaging 27 points,14.2 rebounds,3.8 assists,2.2 blocks over the last five games.
These two teams have already met twice this year, each winning once. In the most recent contest, Julius Randle scored a game-high 33 points and the Pelicans defeated the Timberwolves 123-114 but were unable to cover as 0-point favorites. He also put up 10 rebounds. The two teams combined for 237 points, which was 13.5 points above the projected point total of 223.5 points. The Pelicans dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a superb effective field goal percentage of 0.598 and a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9. For those same stats, the Timberwolves were 0.511 and 26.7, respectively.
New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Over
New Orleans ranks third in second chance points per game (15.3) while Minnesota ranks 21st in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (57.8) while Minnesota ranks 12th (49.2).
The Pelicans rank 11th in fast break points per game (14.4) while the Timberwolves rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
New Orleans is 8-13 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 13-7 ATS at home.
Minnesota is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Timberwolves’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 0.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 126.2 points per game (9.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (3.4 below their season average).