At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-356) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+280) in a Western Conference matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 8.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 229.

This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on ESPN. The Pelicans (23-15) are 6th in the Western Conference and have won two straight games. The Nuggets (26-13) are 3rd in the West and play in the Northwest Division.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +8.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Friday, January 12th.

WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-115 in favor of the Pelicans.
  • Our projections have Brandon Ingram finishing with Brandon Ingram points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will the Pelicans Find a Way to Win on the Road?

The Pelicans are 23-15 this season and are currently in 6th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 7-2 compared to 16-13 against other Western Conference teams.

As the underdog, the Pelicans have an average scoring differential of +1.6 points per game. For the season, they have been the underdog in 17 of their 38 games. Against the spread, they are 11-6 as the underdog and have covered the spread in their last two games.

On the road, the Pelicans have an average scoring differential of +5.1 points per game. So far, they have gone 11-7 on the road and have won seven straight games away from home. Against the spread, they are 10-8 on the road and have covered in five straight games.

In their last game, the Pelicans were 2.5-point favorites and won 141-105. The combined scoring in the game was 246 points, and the over/under line was 234.5.

Heading into tonight’s game, the Pelicans are 11th in the NBA in scoring at 116.4 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 117.5 points compared to 115.5 at home.

So far this season, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA average in 52.6% of their games. In terms of pace, New Orleans is 19th in the league at 98.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans have been one of the most efficient teams in the league. They are 6th in field goal percentage at 48% and 8th in true shooting percentage.

Not only do the Pelicans’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 5th in the league in points allowed. New Orleans has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 27th in the league over their last three games at 105.3 PPG allowed. In their previous matchup vs. the Warriors, the Pelicans’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 57% leading to 105 points.

Will the Denver Defense Show Up at Home?

Denver is 26-13 this season and is 3rd in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 10-3, and in the West, they are 16-10.

At home, the Nuggets are 15-4 and have an average scoring margin of +9.9 points per game. As the favorite, they are 25-11 straight up and 16-19 ATS. At home, their ATS record is 10-8.

As the favorite, Denver has an average scoring differential of +5.5 points per game. Today, they are 8.5-point favorites and have been the favored team in all but three of their games this season.

In their last game, the Nuggets lost to the Jazz by a score of 124-111. The over/under line for the game was 239, and the teams combined for 235 points. Denver also failed to cover the spread, going in as 6.5-point favorites.

For the season, Denver has an O/U record of 15-23-1, and their games have averaged 226.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 229 is higher than 23 of their previous games. In their last game, the final score went under the O/U line of 239.

When playing at home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 12th in scoring with 115.9 points per game.

Denver has been one of the league’s best teams at getting to the rim, as they are 2nd in two-point attempts, and 6th in two-point field goal percentage at 55%. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 4th in the league at 49%.

So far this season, the Nuggets have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA, as they are 10th in true shooting percentage. However, they have struggled from the free-throw line, ranking 28th in both attempts and makes.

For the season, Denver is sitting 3rd in terms of points allowed per game (111.0). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. Opponents are hitting 52.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.3% of their three-point attempts.