At 2:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-173) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+142) in a Western Southwest Division matchup. The Pelicans are favored by four points and are 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-16. The Mavericks are 7th in the West at 23-17.
This game will take place at the American Airlines Center in Dallas and can be seen on BSSW. The over/under line for this game is currently at 235.5 points.
NEW ORLEANS PELICANS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +4
This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 2:30 ET on Monday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-111 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.8% and knocking down 18 threes.
Can the Pelicans Live Up to the Hype on the Road?
The Pelicans have a 23-17 ATS record this season, including an 11-9 mark on the road. They have covered the spread in their last three games and are favored by 4 points today.
This season, the Pelicans have been favored in 21 of their 40 games and have a 13-8 record in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 11-10 ATS and have a scoring margin of +7.8 points per game.
On average, Pelicans games have seen a combined scoring total of 228.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 235.5, and 31 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that. The Pelicans are 19-21 on the over/under this season.
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Pelicans won 118-108 as 6-point underdogs. The teams combined for 226 points, and the O/U line was set at 228.
New Orleans is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 24-16. In non-conference games, they are 7-2 compared to 17-14 against Western Conference opponents.
The Pelicans are 12th in the NBA in scoring this season at 116.4 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 117.3 points per game compared to 115.5 at home (9th).
New Orleans is 7th in field goal percentage at 48% and 9th in true shooting percentage. They are also 8th in two-pointers made per game but just 21st in three-pointers made.
So far this season, the Pelicans have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.5% of their games. They are 20th in pace at 98.2 possessions per game.
So far, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 10th in the league at 111.7 points per contest. The New Orleans defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.2% of their field goal attempts vs. New Orleans.
Will Dallas Make it Happen at Home?
The Mavericks have an O/U record of 23-17 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 235.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 235.5.
Dallas has gone 22-18 against the spread this season, including a 10-11 record at home and 12-7 on the road. As the underdog, they are 7-8 ATS and have covered the spread in their last five games as the underdog.
In their last game against the Pelicans, the Mavericks lost 118-108. They were favored by 6 points in that game and are 6-point underdogs today.
Overall, the Mavericks are 23-17 this season, which is good for 7th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 6-3 compared to 17-14 against Western Conference opponents.
The Mavericks’ ATS losing streak as the favorite is at two games, and they are 15-10 vs. the spread as the favorite. As the underdog, their ATS record is 7-8, and they have covered the spread in their last five games as the underdog.
This season, the Mavericks have been one of the NBA’s most prolific three-point shooting teams, ranking 2nd in both three-point attempts and makes. They are shooting 36% from beyond the arc.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.5 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118.5 points per game.
In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. When it comes to assists, the Mavericks are 23rd in the NBA.
Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.1 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.5% and 36.5% from three-point territory.