At 8:30 ET, the Dallas Mavericks (-139) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (+116) at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks (-2.5) are 6th in the Western Conference and 1st in the Southwest Division, while the Pelicans are 7th in the West and 2nd in the Southwest.

This Western Conference Southwest Division matchup will be televised on BSSW and the over/under line is currently set at 229.


The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-115 in favor of the Pelicans.
  • Our projections have Brandon Ingram finishing with Brandon Ingram points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 13 threes.

Will the Pelicans Win on the Road?

On the road this season, the Pelicans have an average scoring differential of +4.2 points per game. Overall, their road record is 11-8. In the Western Conference, New Orleans is in 7th place.

In 18 of their 39 games this season, the Pelicans have been the underdog. As the underdog, their straight-up record is 10-8, and they are 11-7 ATS. Their average scoring differential in these games is +0.8 points per game.

For the season, the Pelicans are 23-16, and they are 22-17 ATS. They have lost their last two games, and they are 2.5-point underdogs vs. the Mavericks. In their last game, they lost to the Nuggets (125-113), and they were 5.5-point underdogs going into the game.

This year, the Pelicans have an O/U record of 19-20, and the over has hit in each of their last two games. In their most recent game, the combined score was 238 (O/U line of 230).

Heading into their game against the Mavericks, the Pelicans are 11th in the NBA in scoring at 116.4 points per game. However, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 117.3 points compared to 115.5 at home.

So far this season, New Orleans has outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.3% of their games. In terms of pace, the Pelicans are 19th in the league at 98.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans are 7th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48%. They have also been effective from beyond the arc, ranking 5th in three-point shooting percentage at 38%.

At this time, the Pelicans’ defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 111.8 points per game. New Orleans’ defense is currently forcing 12.8 turnovers per game, which is 14th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 19th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.9 rejections per game.

Can the Mavericks Secure a Win at Home?

The Mavericks are 23-16 overall this season and are in 1st place in the Southwest Division. In the Western Conference, they are currently 6th. At home, the Mavericks are 12-8 straight up and 10-10 against the spread.

As for their over/under record, the Mavericks are 23-16. Today’s over/under line of 229 is lower than the average line in their games (234.6), and 31 of their games have had higher lines than 229. This year, the average combined scoring total in their games is 235.8.

Despite being the favorite in 24 of their 39 games, the Mavericks have gone 6-9 straight up as the underdog. Their ATS record as the underdog is 7-8, and they have covered the spread in five straight games as the underdog.

In their last game, the Mavericks were 5-point underdogs but came away with a 128-124 win over the Knicks. The combined scoring total of 252 points was higher than the over/under line of 234.5.

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 121.1 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in the league with 118.8 points per game. Dallas is shooting 47% from the field, which is 16th in the NBA.

One area where the Mavericks excel is three-point shooting. They are 2nd in both three-point attempts and makes, averaging 15.2 threes per game. From beyond the arc, Dallas is shooting 37%, which is 15th in the league.

When it comes to pace, the Mavericks are 9th in the NBA at 100.1 possessions per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 20th in the league with 10.3 per game. In terms of assists, Dallas is 23rd with 25.3 per game.

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 19th, allowing 117.1 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Mavericks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.4% from downtown.