New Mexico State vs. UTEP – 9/22/2018 Betting Free Pick

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Saturday, 09/22/2018 at 07:30 pm NEW MEXICO ST (1-4) at UTEP (0-4)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
393NEW MEXICO ST 49 16.4 39.8 1-4 1-4-0 3-2-0 82.4 190.6 273 265 170.6 435.6
394UTEP +4 13.5 33.3 0-4 1-3-0 1-2-0 174.3 120.8 295.1 255.3 163.3 418.6

Last Updated: 2018-09-18

The New Mexico State Aggies (-3) and UTEP Miners will face off on the turf at Sun Bowl. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on ESPN 3.

New Mexico State vs. UTEP Betting Odds

New Mexico State is giving up 3 points in this game. The Aggies are currently getting -155 moneyline odds while the Miners are +135. This game could offer several live betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 52 points.

This game’s line opened at 2.5, while the over/under hasn’t changed since it opened at 52.

The Aggies are 0-4 straight up (SU) while the Miners are 0-3 SU. The Aggies have lost 2.0 units this season and are 0-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-1.

The Miners are down 1.0 unit so far. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.

The Aggies fell to New Mexico 42-25 in a blowout where the passing attack could’ve been better as the Aggies completed 22-of-40 passes for 249 yards, one touchdown and five interceptions. Josh Adkins went 12-for-21 for 168 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Matt Romero completed nine-of-13 for 75 yards and two interceptions. Jason Huntley (67 rushing yards on 15 attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. OJ Clark (four receptions, 27 yards) and Huntley (four catches, 87 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

UTEP were just blanked 24-0 by Tennessee. The defense allowed the Volunteers to rush for 345 yards on 50 attempts, including two rush TDs. Ty Chandler torched the defense, recording 158 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts for Tennessee. For UTEP, Kai Locksley completed nine-of-22 passes for 39 yards. Locksley (24 rushing yards on nine attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat as Keynan Foster (two receptions, 21 yards) and Warren Redix (two catches, 15 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

New Mexico State has run the ball on 41.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while UTEP has an overall rush percentage of 54.9 percent. The Aggies have run for 64 yards per game and have just a single score via handoffs this year. The Miners are totaling 154 rushing yards per contest and have four total rush TDs.

The Aggies have averaged 199 yards in the air overall and have four passing TD so far. The Miners have put up 96 pass yards per outing and have yet to record a pass scores.

Defensively, New Mexico State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 270 yards and pass for 166 yards per game. UTEP has allowed 288.7 yards per game on the ground and 165.7 to opponents in the air. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.28 to opposing QBs, while the Miners have given up an 8.47 ANY/A.

Matt Romero has put up 448 pass yards this year, and has connected on 54-of-98 attempts with two passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Romero’s got a 2.53 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at -0.29 over the past two outings.

The Aggies have tried to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Johnathan Boone (159 yards), Jason Huntley (95 rush yards, 123 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Royce Caldwell (21 rush yards) have been big focal points in the offense for New Mexico State.

In the hosts’ locker room, Kai Locksley has tallied 159 yards, zero TDs and one INT. Locksley’s ANY/A sits at a very poor 1.77 for the season and 2.05 over his past two games.

The Miners also prefer to leverage their backfield. In addition to Kai Locksley (zero receiving yards), Quardraiz Wadley (76 rush yards, one rush TD) and Treyvon Hughes (43 rush yards) have gotten plenty of touches lately.

These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 41-14 win for New Mexico State.

New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – UTEP, ATS Winner – UTEP, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The New Mexico State defense has six sacks on the year while UTEP has five.

UTEP has lost three fumbles in 2018 while the New Mexico State offense has let two get away.

The Aggies offense has created one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Miners have put up zero such plays.

The New Mexico State defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while UTEP has given up three such plays.

The New Mexico State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while UTEP has created four such runs.

The Aggies defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Miners have given up 10 such runs.

UTEP was favored by 34 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 52.5. The under cashed and UTEP failed to cover in the 24-0 defeat to Tennessee.

Over its last three games, New Mexico State is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

New Mexico State was the underdog by 3 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was set at 58.5. The over cashed and New Mexico State was not able to cover in the 42-25 loss to New Mexico.

As a team, New Mexico State has averaged 2.8 yards per carry over its last two matchups.

UTEP has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last two.

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