New Mexico State at Ole Miss College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


The Rebels (-29) are set to welcome the New Mexico State Aggies to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. Interested parties can catch the action live on SEC Network and this daytime game is scheduled to get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET.

New Mexico State vs. Ole Miss Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Ole Miss has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 29 points to New Mexico State. The over/under has been set at 60 points, and if one side can catch a lucky break early, it will probably generate a reasonable betting scenario in-game.

The Aggies are 0-8 straight up (SU) while the Rebels are 3-6 SU. The Aggies are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 5.0 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5.

The Rebels have lost 3.4 units this season. The team is 5-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-5.

The Aggies fell to Georgia Southern 41-7 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Eagles to run for 403 yards on 56 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. On the offense, Josh Adkins completed just 13-of-23 passes for 59 yards and two interceptions. Jason Huntley (133 rushing yards on 24 attempts, one TD) and Christian Gibson (98 yards on 23 carries) led the running attack while Huntley (four receptions, 11 yards) and Gibson (two catches, eight yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

A week ago, Auburn got the victory against this Ole Miss team by a score of 20-14. As a group, the team collectively completed 14-of-27 passes for 99 yards and one interception. John Rhys Plumlee went 11-for-21 for 86 yards and one interception while Matt Corral was three-of-six for 13 yards. Plumlee (92 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Jerrion Ealy (44 yards on 14 carries) spearheaded the running game while Ealy (four receptions, 16 yards) and Elijah Moore (three catches, 14 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

New Mexico State has run the ball on 45.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has a rush percentage of 61 percent. The Aggies have produced 118 rush yards per game and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Rebels are putting up 225 rushing yards per contest and have 18 total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Rebels ought to have an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 5.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Aggies have recorded 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 6.2 YPC to opponents.

The Aggies have averaged 227 yards through the air overall and have nine passing TDs so far. The Rebels have recorded 190 pass yards per outing and also have nine total pass scores.

New Mexico State appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 264 yards and pass for 215 yards per game. Ole Miss has allowed 129.0 yards per game on the ground and 290.6 to opposing teams in the air. The Rebels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.63 to opponents, while the Aggies have given up an 8.31 ANY/A.

Adkins is up to 1,534 pass yards on the year. He’s completed 162-of-259 attempts with six passing touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Adkins has a 3.32 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 3.21 over the last two games.

For the home team, Matt Corral has recorded 990 yards, four TDs and one INT. Corral’s ANY/A stands at 6.64 for the year and 2.96 across his past two outings.

New Mexico State Aggies at Ole Miss Rebels Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – New Mexico State, O/U – Over


Betting Notes

Ole Miss has lost six fumbles this season while New Mexico State has let eight get away.

The Ole Miss defensive unit has produced 23 sacks on the year while New Mexico State has just six.

New Mexico State has averaged 4.0 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 4.1 over its last two.

Ole Miss has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.8 over its past two.

Ole Miss has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 25-point win over Vanderbilt on October 5th representing its lone victory over that span.

Leave a Reply