Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aggies versus the Blue Raiders? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center in Murfreesboro, TN. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 131.5 points, and Middle Tennessee is favored by -3 to win at home against New Mexico State.


The Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3

This game will be played at Murphy Athletic Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-66 in favor of the Blue Raiders.
  • Not only will Middle Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Aggies Grab a Win in Murfreesboro?

Through 24 games, New Mexico State has an overall record of 11-13, including a 5-4 mark in Conference USA games. The Aggies are still searching for their first road win of the season, as they are 0-11 away from home, compared to a 7-2 record at home.

As the underdog, New Mexico State is just 1-13 this season, compared to a perfect 6-0 record as the favorite. The Aggies are coming off a 74-49 loss to UTEP and have lost their last 11 games on the road.

As the underdog this season, New Mexico State has an ATS record of 6-8. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-7, and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico State’s games this season (140.6). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

Most recently, the New Mexico State offense finished with just 49 points vs. UTEP. For the game, they hit 2/19 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 34.6%. Christian Cook is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 10 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Robert Carpenter brings a PPG average of 9.7 into the game.

Currently, the Aggies’ defense holds the 154th rank in the nation, allowing 71.6 points per game. Against UTEP in their most recent game, the New Mexico State defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing UTEP to hit 41% of their shots.

Will the Blue Raiders Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

After a 68-66 win over FIU, Middle Tennessee comes into this game with a 9-15 record, including a 3-6 mark in Conference USA. The Blue Raiders have been much better at home this season, going 6-6 compared to 1-9 on the road.

As the favorite, Middle Tennessee is 6-5 this season, and they have a two-game home win streak. Over their last 10 games at home, the Blue Raiders have gone 5-5.

As the favorite this season, Middle Tennessee has gone just 5-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Raiders are just 4-6 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Middle Tennessee games is 7-13-2. The average scoring total in their games is 130.9 points while the average over/under line is 134.3. This year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 131.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The Blue Raiders’ offense wrapped up their last game with 68 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 63.6 points per contest. Elias King led the scoring for the Blue Raiders, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Jared Coleman-Jones chipped in with 13 points.

Currently, the Blue Raiders’ defense holds the 79th rank in the nation, allowing 68.1 points per game. The Middle Tennessee defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed FIU to connect on 5 threes.