Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Aggies versus the Flames? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBSS. The game will be played at Liberty Arena in Lynchburg, VA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 136 points, and Liberty is favored by -13.5 to win at home against New Mexico State.


The Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +13.5

This game will be played at Liberty Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 29th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-67 in favor of the Flames.
  • Even though we have Liberty winning straight-up, we like New Mexico State at +13.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Aggies Grab a Win in Lynchburg?

After losing their fifth straight game, New Mexico State’s record has fallen to 11-17 this season. They are 5-8 in Conference USA games and have gone 6-9 in non-conference matchups.

So far, the Aggies have gone 0-13 on the road, and their average scoring margin is -16.1 points per game. Their record as the underdog is 1-17, and they have gone 6-0 when favored.

As the underdog, New Mexico State has struggled vs. the spread this season, going just 6-12. Their ATS record on the road is 4-9 and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Overall, the Aggies have an ATS mark of 9-14-1 this year.

Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico State’s games this year (140.3). This year, their over/under record is 12-12. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their average scoring total over their last three games is 130 points.

Coming off their recent game, the New Mexico State offense tallied 58 points in a matchup against Louisiana Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 38.8%, and they made 8 threes. Offensively, the Aggies have a season long field goal percentage of 42%, which is 341st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 320th in percentage and 288th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Aggies’ defense is nationally ranked 167th, allowing 71.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, New Mexico State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.1% this season.

Can the Flames Please their Home Crowd?

Liberty enters this game as a 13.5-point favorite, and they have gone 13-8 as the favorite this season. Overall, they have a 16-11 record, and they have won four straight at home.

At home, the Flames are scoring 9.4 more points per game than their opponents. They are 11-4 at home, and their record in Conference USA games is 5-7.

As the favorite this season, Liberty has gone 11-10 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 10-5. In their last three home games, the Flames have covered the spread every time. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Liberty has gone just 3-7.

Liberty’s over/under record for the season sits at 13-10-1, and today’s line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (137.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

The Flames’ offense finished with 71 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75.1 points per contest. Kaden Metheny led the team in scoring, putting up 21 points. Additionally, Kyle Rode contributed 18 points for the Flames.

Liberty’s defense has been playing well, ranking 23rd nationally, with 65.1 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. FIU, the Golden Panthers finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 76 points vs. Liberty.