Planning on watching today’s Lobos and Runnin’ Rebels game? Catch the action at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV, as the Runnin’ Rebels hosts this showdown at 10:30 ET on FS1. The Lobos come into this Mountain West conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 151 points.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels +2.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 10:30 ET on Tuesday, January 9th.

WHY BET THE UNLV RUNNIN’ REBELS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Runnin’ Rebels.
  • Not only will UNLV pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored Lobos?

After starting the season 1-1 in Mountain West play, New Mexico has gone 12-1 in non-conference games. The Lobos’ overall record is 13-2, including a 4-2 mark on the road.

So far this season, New Mexico has been the favorite in 12 of their 15 games, and they are a perfect 12-0 in those contests. On the road, the Lobos have a record of 5-5 over their last 10 games.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has an ATS record of 10-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lobos have gone 9-1 vs. the spread. On the road this year, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 3-3, and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (153.9). So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Wyoming. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.5% and connected on 3 threes. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.6, while JT Toppin also carries a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

The Lobos’ defense is presently ranked 87th nationally, allowing an average of 67.3 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Wyoming, the Cowboys finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 60 points vs. New Mexico.

Will the UNLV Defense Show Up at Home?

UNLV will be looking to bounce back after a 72-61 loss to San Diego State. The Runnin’ Rebels are 7-6 overall, including a 4-4 record at home. So far this season, UNLV has been the underdog four times and has gone 1-3 in those games. For the year, the Runnin’ Rebels have been the underdog in six of their 13 games.

Over their last 10 games at home, UNLV has gone 6-4. For the year, the team’s average scoring margin at home is +3.0. The Runnin’ Rebels are 0-1 in Mountain West play and 7-5 in non-conference action. Overall, UNLV has a point differential of +3.0 per game.

Against the spread, UNLV is currently 5-5 this season. At home, their ATS mark sits at 4-4, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 5-5. In their last three home games, the Runnin’ Rebels are 1-0 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in UNLV’s games this season (144.1). So far, the over/under record in their games is 6-4. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-1 and the average scoring total is 145 points.

In their recent matchup, the UNLV offense ended with 61 points against San Diego State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.7% and made 8 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Luis Rodriguez, who is averaging 12.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dedan Thomas Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 12.3 heading into game.

At this time, the Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is positioned 107th in the country, permitting 68.4 points per game. So far, the UNLV defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (436th).