Looking to win big? The Lobos and Aztecs face off at 6:00 ET on CBS. The Aztecs are hosting the game at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 143.5 points, with San Diego State being favored by -2 at home against New Mexico.


The Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -2

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aztecs.
  • Not only will San Diego State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will New Mexico Make it Happen on the Road?

As the underdog, New Mexico is 1-5 this season. They are 22-9 overall and have won four straight games. On the road, they have gone 9-6, and their average scoring margin is +4.9 points per game.

New Mexico’s average scoring margin at home is +15.5 points per game, and they have won 15 of their 18 games at home this season. Over their last 10 road games, the Lobos have gone 5-5.

As the underdog this season, New Mexico has gone 2-4 vs. the spread. Their ATS record for the year is 22-11. On the road, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 9-6 and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record in New Mexico games is 17-16. Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (153.2). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 138 points compared to their season average of 151.8 points per game.

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Colorado State. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.2% while connecting on 5 threes. Offensively, the Lobos have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 104th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 259th in percentage and 269th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Lobos’ defense is ranked 127th in the country at 70.5 points per contest. The New Mexico defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 61 points and allowed Colorado State to connect on 5 threes.

Do the Aztecs Have What it Takes at Home?

San Diego State has been unbeatable at home this season, going 14-0, and they are favored by two points in this game. The Aztecs have won their last two games, and they are 20-3 when favored this season.

Over their last 10 games at home, San Diego State has gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 in their last five at home. For the season, the Aztecs have an average scoring margin of +12.9 points per game at home.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 14-16 this season, including a mark of 8-6 at home. Over their last three home games, the Aztecs are just 1-2 vs. the spread. As the favorite, San Diego State has gone 12-11 ATS in 23 games this year and just 1-4 ATS in their last five games as the favorite.

This season, the over/under record for San Diego State games is 16-14, and today’s line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (140.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

In their latest game, San Diego State’s offense looked good, scoring 86 points against Utah State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 46.8% and made 20/30 free throws. Jaedon LeDee was the leading scorer for the Aztecs, putting up 22 points. In addition, Lamont Butler contributed 16 points.

The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 42nd nationally, allowing an average of 66.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Utah State, the Aggies finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 70 points vs. San Diego State.