Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Lobos and Aztecs. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on FS1, and it’s hosted by the Aztecs at Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have San Diego State as the -6.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 152.5 points.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New Mexico Lobos +6.5

This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 10:00 ET on Friday, February 16th.

WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Aztecs.
  • Even though we have San Diego State winning straight-up, we like New Mexico at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Lobos Offense Score Enough in San Diego?

As an underdog this season, New Mexico has gone 1-2, and they’ve been the underdog in just three of their 25 games. The Lobos have gone 17-3 when favored this year. On the road, New Mexico has an average scoring margin of +7.8 points per game, and they’ve won their last four road games.

Overall, the Lobos have a record of 20-5, including a 7-4 mark in Mountain West Conference play. In their last game, they defeated Nevada by a score of 83-82, and they have gone 8-2 in their previous 10 road games.

As the underdog, New Mexico has gone 1-2 vs. the spread this season. However, they have a solid overall ATS mark of 16-7. On the road, the Lobos are 7-4 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Over their last 10 road games, New Mexico has a strong ATS mark of 7-3.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (153.3). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 161 points.

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game in which they scored 83 points vs. Nevada. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 9 threes. On the offensive front, the Lobos have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 72nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 186th in terms of percentage and 231st in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Lobos’ defense holds the 132nd rank in the nation, allowing 70.6 points per game. The New Mexico defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 82 points and allowed Nevada to connect on 6 threes.

Will San Diego State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

San Diego State is 12-0 at home this season, and they have won their last 12 games at home. The Aztecs have an average scoring margin of +13.4 points per game at home this season. Overall, San Diego State has gone 19-6 this season, and they have won three straight games.

San Diego State has been the favorite in 17 of their 25 games this season, and they are 15-2 in those games. For the year, they have gone 8-3 in Mountain West Conference play, and they are 11-3 in non-conference games.

As the favorite, San Diego State has an ATS record of 8-9 this season. At home, they have gone 7-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are 7-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in San Diego State’s games this year (140.9). This season, the over/under record in their games is 13-9. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their games this year have averaged 143.4 points.

The San Diego State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. Colorado State. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.4% while connecting on 5 threes. The top scorer for the Aztecs was Jaedon LeDee with 27 points, while Darrion Trammell also added 11 to the scoreboard.

This season, the San Diego State defense has been impressive, holding the 52nd position in the country while permitting an average of 66.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. New Mexico, the San Diego State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, San Diego State made 18 free-throws vs. the Aztecs.