FS1 will air this week 12 CFB game between the Lobos and Bulldogs at 10:30 (11/18/23). The game is slated for Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno (CA). The odds for this week 12 Mountain West matchup have the Bulldogs as the 23 point favorites at home. Will the Bulldogs pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Saturday.
NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Mexico Lobos +23
This game will be played at Valley Children’s Stadium at 10:30 ET on Saturday, November 18th.
WHY BET THE NEW MEXICO LOBOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 40-17 in favor of Fresno State.
- Even though we have Fresno State winning straight-up, we like New Mexico at +23.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 56.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 57 points.
Can the Lobos Grab a Win on the Road?
This season, the New Mexico Lobos are currently 3-7. So far this season, they have played four road games and four at home.
Against the spread, New Mexico has gone 2-6 this season. The Lobos have been favored one time compared to seven games as the underdog.
So far this season, New Mexico boasts an over/under record of 6-2. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 62.1 points, while the average over/under line has been 52.3 points.
The Lobos’ heads into the game, averaging 164 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 60th in rushing yards and 60th in passing yards at 223 yards per contest. New Mexico is averaging 26.1 points per game, which is 61st in the nation.
The New Mexico defense holds the 141st position in points allowed, allowing 36 points per game. Teams have an average of 243.1 passing yards per game against them (126th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 176.3 rushing yards, placing them 130th in college football.
Can the Bulldogs Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
With a 8-2 record, the Fresno State Bulldogs take on New Mexico. Their road record so far is (3-2) and at home (4-0).
Against the spread, Fresno State has gone 4-5 this season. The Bulldogs have been favored seven times compared to two games as the underdog.
This season, Fresno State holds an over/under record of 6-3. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 56.1 points, with the typical over/under line set at 50.4 points.
Fresno State’s offense has put up an average of 32.4 points per game, placing them 32nd in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 290.4 passing yards on average, ranking 19th in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 112th position in rushing yards, with 295 rushing attempts per game this season.
The Fresno State defense, going into this week’s game, holds 86th place for points allowed, allowing 23.7 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 223.1 passing yards each game against them (86th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 145.7 rushing yards, ranking them 75th in college football.