The New Mexico Lobos (6-9, 1-1 MWC) visit Taco Bell Arena to take on the Boise State Broncos (12-2, 2-0 MWC). The Lobos are 11-point underdogs and look to end their six-game road losing streak, while the Broncos try to continue their nine-game home winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 148 points and it will air on ESPN 3 at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos Betting Odds
In their last contest, the Broncos defeated the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels, 83-74, while the Lobos lost a winnable game to the Nevada Wolf Pack, 77-74.
The Broncos, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.7, had a phenomenal mark of 37.1 and held the Runnin’ Rebels to an effective field goal percentage of 0.448 (below their season average of 0.573). New Mexico, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.9 (above their season average of 28.5). Chandler Hutchison put together a good performance for Boise State with 32 points and 12 rebounds. Joe Furstinger, meanwhile had a good outing for New Mexico, putting up 10 points and 10 rebounds.
The elite offense of Boise State (47th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage 0.556) will face off against the mid-tier defense of New Mexico (250th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.519). The Broncos figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Of the Lobos’ 12 games with betting action, seven have finished under the total. New Mexico holds records of 6-9 straight up (SU) and 6-7 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with New Mexico, Broncos games have gone under the total 53.8 percent of the time. Further, Boise State is 12-2 SU and 8-5 ATS.
Hutchison has been solid as of late for Boise State, averaging 22.6 points, 8.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 1.8 steals over the last five games.
The Lobos dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent game, New Mexico won 78-73. New Mexico made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 22 of them (84.6 percent). Boise State, meanwhile, was 13-17 (76.5 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncos ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Boise State, ATS Winner – Boise State, O/U – Over
Boise State ranks 36th in rebounds per game (40.0) while New Mexico ranks 229th in rebounds allowed per game (39.0).
The Lobos rank 52nd in steals per game (7.5) while the Broncos rank 59th in steals allowed per game (5.6).
The Lobos rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (31.5) while the Broncos rank 113th in three pointers allowed per game (21.6).
Boise State ranks 45th in assists allowed per game (11.5) while New Mexico ranks 139th (13.7).
Boise State is 5-2 ATS at home, while New Mexico is 2-4 ATS on the road.
The total has gone under in 5 of the Lobos’ 6 road games, while 4 of the Broncos’ 7 home games have gone under.
The Broncos are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lobos are 2-2.
In their last five games, Boise State has 4 overs and 1 under, while New Mexico has 3 overs and 1 under.
The Broncos’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.2, down from 13.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lobos have scored an average of 79.8 points per game (0.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 74.2 points per game (1.3 below their season average).