Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Lobos versus the Broncos? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBSS. The game will be played at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have Boise State as the -3.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 154 points.


The Pick: Boise State Broncos -3.5

This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 8:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Boise State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can The Lobos Secure a Road Victory?

As an underdog, New Mexico is 1-3 this season. So far, they have been the underdog in just four games, compared to 22 as the favorite. On the road, the Lobos have gone 8-4, including a 7-3 record in their last 10 games away from home.

Overall, New Mexico has gone 21-7 this season, including a 13-1 record in non-conference games. In their last game, the Lobos lost to Air Force by a score of 78-77. So far, their average scoring margin on the road is +6.2 points per game.

As the underdog, New Mexico has gone just 1-3 vs. the spread this season. However, their overall ATS record is a solid 16-10. On the road, the Lobos are 7-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

This season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 15-11. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 153.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 154 is right in line with that average. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Coming off their recent game, the New Mexico offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Air Force. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.7%, and they made 3 threes. One area that the New Mexico offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 40th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

So far, the Lobos’ defense is ranked 140th in the country at 71.1 points per contest. New Mexico’s three-point defense is currently 78th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.1% of their shots vs. New Mexico.

Will the Broncos Defense Show Up at Home?

Boise State comes into this game as the favorites, as they have been in 17 of their 28 games this season. Their record as the favorite is 14-3, while their overall record is 20-8. The Broncos have been particularly strong at home, going 12-3 compared to 7-5 on the road.

Recently, Boise State has been playing some of their best basketball at home, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.5 points per game, and they are currently on a three-game winning streak.

Boise State’s ATS record this season is 15-12, and they have gone 9-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Broncos have an ATS mark of 7-3. In their last 3 home games, Boise State is 3-0 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Boise State games is 14-13 and today’s over/under line of 154 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (139). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 140 points compared to their season average of 142 points per game.

The Broncos’ offense wrapped up their last game with 79 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 75.9 points per contest. The top scorer for the Broncos was Tyson Degenhart with 21 points, while Chibuzo Agbo also chipped in with 17 points.

Boise State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 39th nationally, with 66.2 points allowed per game. So far, the Boise State defense is giving up an average of 6.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (465th).