Looking to win big? The Lobos and Broncos face off at 11:30 ET on CBSS. The Broncos are hosting the game at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 153.5 points, and Boise State is favored by -1.5 to win at home against New Mexico.

NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boise State Broncos -1.5

This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center at 11:30 ET on Thursday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE BOISE STATE BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Boise State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the New Mexico Defense Show Up on the Road?

Through 31 games, New Mexico has an overall record of 22-9 and a Mountain West record of 9-8, compared to a non-conference record of 13-1. On the road, the Lobos have gone 8-6, with an average scoring margin of +4.5. Their last three road games have all been losses, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

As an underdog, New Mexico has gone just 1-5 this season, compared to a record of 19-4 when favored. Overall, they have been the underdog in six games this year.

As the underdog, New Mexico has an ATS record of just 2-4 this season. However, their overall ATS record is a solid 18-11. On the road, the Lobos are 8-6 vs. the spread this year and have gone just 1-2 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, New Mexico has gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is similar to the average over/under line of 153.4 in New Mexico’s games this season. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 149 points.

In their recent game, the Lobos’ offense concluded with 85 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 82.6 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.8, while JT Toppin also maintains a PPG average of 12.8 leading up to the game.

On the defensive side, New Mexico is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.7 points per game. So far, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.9 times per game (417th).

Will the Broncos Win at Home?

Boise State comes into this game as a 1.5-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 19 of their 31 games this season. So far, the Broncos have gone 15-4 as the favorite.

At home this season, Boise State has been fantastic, going 13-4 compared to their 7-5 record on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.8, and they are coming off a loss to Nevada, 76-66.

As the favorite this season, Boise State has gone 11-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Broncos have an ATS mark of 6-4. At home, their ATS record is 10-7 this year and 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.

Boise State’s over/under record this season is 16-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (139.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record for the Broncos is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

The Boise State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 66 points versus Nevada. During the game, they attempted 23 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 41.7%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Tyson Degenhart who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.8. Chibuzo Agbo also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.6.

So far, the Broncos’ defense is ranked 55th in the country at 67.3 points per contest. So far, the Boise State defense is giving up an average of 6.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.5 times per game (458th).