Planning on watching today’s Lobos and Falcons game? Catch the action at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO, as the Falcons hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on CBSS. The Lobos are the favored team in this Mountain West conference contest against the Falcons. The game’s over/under currently sits at 142.5 points.
NEW MEXICO LOBOS VS AIR FORCE FALCONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Air Force Falcons +11
This game will be played at Clune Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Falcons.
- Not only will Air Force pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +11.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Lobos Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
So far this season, New Mexico has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 9-0 with an average scoring margin of +20.2 points per game. On the road, the Lobos have gone 4-3 with an average scoring margin of +4.0 points per game.
Coming into today’s game, the Lobos have won three of their last five games on the road. Overall, New Mexico has gone 4-6 in their last ten road games.
When looking at New Mexico’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-5. In their 14 games as the favorite, the Lobos have gone 11-3 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark on the road has not been as strong, going just 3-4 this year and 3-6-1 in their last 10 road games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, New Mexico is an impressive 8-2.
Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (153.5). So far this year, their over/under record is 7-9. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-0.
New Mexico’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. San Diego State, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 83.6 points per game. Offensively, the Lobos have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 83rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 276th in percentage and 304th in three-pointers made.
The Lobos’ defense is presently ranked 107th nationally, allowing an average of 69.3 points per contest. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the New Mexico defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 44% of their shots.
Are Air Force Ready for a Home Win?
After a rough start to the season, Air Force is 7-9 overall and has lost seven straight games. They are 0-4 in Mountain West play and 1-5 as the underdog this season.
At home, the Falcons are 4-6 this season and have lost five straight games. Their average scoring margin at home is -1.1 points per game.
As the underdog this season, Air Force has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Falcons have an ATS record of 5-5. At home this season, Air Force is just 2-8 vs. the spread.
On the season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 10-6, and today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (134.1). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last five games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their over/under record during that span is 4-1.
In their recent matchup, the Air Force offense ended with 69 points against Colorado State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.1% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Falcons have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 172nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 102nd in percentage and 98th in three-pointers made.
At this time, the Falcons’ defense is positioned 81st in the country, permitting 67.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. New Mexico. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.8%.