Planning on watching today’s Wildcats and Retrievers game? Catch the action at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD, as the Retrievers hosts this showdown at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wildcats are favored in this America East conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 166 points.
NEW HAMPSHIRE WILDCATS VS UMBC RETRIEVERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +3.5
This game will be played at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Retrievers.
- Not only will UMBC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 166 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Are the Wildcats Ready for a Win at Baltimore?
After a 70-62 win over NJIT, New Hampshire is 10-7 this season and 2-2 in America East play. They have gone 8-5 in non-conference games compared to 2-2 in conference. This year, they are 5-5 on the road, and they are coming off a win, giving them a 5-5 record in their last 10 games away from home.
So far, the Wildcats have been favored in seven games, going 4-3 in those matchups. They are 4-2 at home compared to 5-5 on the road. For the season, they have a scoring differential of -3.8 points per game on the road.
As the favorite this season, New Hampshire has gone just 2-5 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are just 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road, however, New Hampshire has been a solid 8-2 vs. the spread this season and is 10-6 overall. Their ATS record this year is 10-6.
So far this season, the over/under record in New Hampshire games is 10-5-1. Today’s line of 166 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (148.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 149 points.
The New Hampshire offense is coming off a game in which they scored 70 points vs. NJIT. Overall their field goal percentage was 50.9% while connecting on 8 threes. The New Hampshire offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 27.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 35% of their looks from outside this season.
On defense, New Hampshire is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. NJIT, the Highlanders finished with a field goal percentage of 33% and a total of 62 points vs. New Hampshire.
Will UMBC Win at Home?
UMBC has struggled on the road this season, going just 1-9 and losing their last six games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -10.4 points per game. As for their record as the underdog, they are 4-10 this season.
Coming into this game, UMBC is 4-4 at home this season, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games at home. In their last game, they defeated Maine by a score of 70-65.
UMBC has an ATS record of 10-8 this season. At home, they are 4-4 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Retrievers are 9-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.
UMBC’s over/under record this season is 12-6 and today’s line of 166 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (155.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 6-4.
In their recent matchup, the UMBC offense ended with 70 points against Maine. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 52.9% and made 6 threes. Offensively, the Retrievers have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 121st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 88th in percentage and 100th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the UMBC defense is giving up an average of 82.6 points per contest. UMBC’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Maine offense to knock down 52% of their shots on their way to putting up 65 points.