New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Pick and Preview

NFL Betting Preview
New England Patriots (6-4) at Miami Dolphins (6-4)
 Sunday, 1:00 pm Eastern – CBS


SBG Global Opening Line: Dolphins    1   ,  Total  41


A key matchup in the AFC East is on tap for Sunday as the New England Patriots host the Miami Dolphins.  Both teams sit at 6-4 and in position to challenge for a playoff spot.  The winner could be well on their way while the loser could be in trouble.  The first time these two teams met this season the Dolphins ended the Patriots long winning streak, coming away with their first road win in almost two years.  Miami comes into Sunday’s game having won four straight and six of their last eight overall. SBG Global reports that early NFL betting has the public taking Patriots on the Road.


The Dolphins and Patriots are just a game back of first place New York in the AFC East and both teams are tied with the Ravens and Colts for Wild Card spots in the AFC.  The Dolphins have been finding ways to win each week including last week against Oakland when rookie Dan Carpenter hit the game winning field goal with just 38 seconds left. “We keep putting ourselves in these dogfights,” said linebacker Joey Porter, “You don’t want them to come back and bite you. When you’ve got a team down, you’ve got to figure out how to put them away. Having last-second wins is not something you want to be hoping for every time.”  The Dolphins are in position to make the playoffs just a year after going 1-15. “This is why we do what we do. We put ourselves in position to have a big game at home at the end of November. That’s where we are,” head coach Tony Sparano said. “That being said, I don’t think too much has to be said this week.”


The Patriots are coming off a 34-31 loss to the Jets last week that knocked them out of first place.  Quarterback Matt Cassel threw for 400 yards but the defense couldn’t stop the Jets. “We dug ourselves too much of a hole and when we really needed to stop them in overtime, we didn’t make enough plays,” defensive lineman Richard Seymour said.   New England could have problems this week in Miami against a Dolphins team they just don’t beat very often in Florida.  New England is 8-29 all-time in South Florida and they are only 3-2 there the last two seasons when they were great and the Dolphins were struggling.


Here are the NFL betting stats for Sunday’s game. The Patriots are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games. The Patriots are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. the AFC East. The Patriots are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Miami. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.


The Dolphins are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November. The Dolphins are 12-31-1 ATS in their last 44 home games. The Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 vs. the AFC East.


SBG Global Current Line: Dolphins    1   ,  Total  42


The Under is 9-2-2 in the Patriots last 13 vs. the AFC. The Under is 10-3 in the Patriots last 13 games in November. The Under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 games in November. The Under is 5-1 in the Dolphins last 6 home games.


Pick: Patriots 3 out of 5 units

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