Looking to win big? The Wolf Pack and Aggies face off at 9:00 ET on MWN. The Aggies are hosting the game at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 149 points, with Utah State being favored by -6 at home against Nevada.
NEVADA WOLF PACK VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Utah State Aggies -6
This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.
WHY BET THE UTAH STATE AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aggies.
- Not only will Utah State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.
Do the Wolf Pack Have What it Takes in Logan?
So far this season, Nevada has been much better at home than on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +18.6 points per game compared to just +0.3 on the road. In fact, they have lost their last three road games.
This season, Nevada has been the underdog in four games, going 2-2 in those contests. Overall, they are 17-5, including a 4-4 record in Mountain West Conference games. In their most recent game, they defeated San Jose State by a score of 90-60.
As the underdog this season, Nevada has gone 2-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolf Pack are 4-6 ATS. On the road this year, Nevada has an ATS mark of 6-4 and their ATS record over their last 3 road games is 0-3.
This season, the over/under record for Nevada is 9-13 and today’s line of 149 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.
Nevada recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 90 points against San Jose State. This output exceeded their season average of 76.5 points per game. Jarod Lucas is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.3 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Kenan Blackshear brings a PPG average of 15.5 into the game.
So far this season, the Nevada defense has been performing well, ranking 50th in the country at 66.3 points allowed per contest. Nevada’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the San Jose State offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 60 points.
Can the Aggies Lock in a Home Win?
Utah State is 10-0 at home this season, and they are 16-0 when favored. They are favored by six points against Nevada, and their average scoring margin at home is +15.6.
Over their last 10 games at home, the Aggies are 10-0, and they are coming off an 81-67 loss to San Diego State. So far, they have an overall record of 19-3.
Utah State has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 12-7. At home, they have an ATS record of 7-3 and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three home games. As the favorite, the Aggies have a record of 11-5 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Utah State’s over/under record for the season is 12-7 and their games have averaged 149.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 149 is similar to their average OU line of 144.4. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 154 points scored.
In their latest game, Utah State offense put up 67 points against San Diego State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41% and made 6 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Great Osobor who comes into today’s matchup averaging 19. Ian Martinez also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.7.
Currently, the Aggies’ defense holds the 94th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. In their most recent game, the Utah State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as San Diego State knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 81 points.