Looking to win big? The Wolf Pack and Broncos face off at 11:00 ET on FS1. The Broncos are hosting the game at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and Boise State is favored by -5.5 to win at home against Nevada.

NEVADA WOLF PACK VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boise State Broncos -5.5

This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 11:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE BOISE STATE BRONCOS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Boise State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Wolf Pack Make it Happen on the Road?

As the underdog, Nevada has gone 5-2 this season. They have won five straight games and have a record of 24-6. On the road, the Wolf Pack have gone 10-4 this season, and they have won four straight away from home.

In their last game, Nevada defeated Fresno State by a score of 74-66. Over their last 10 road games, the Wolf Pack have gone 7-3. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +3.1 on the road.

As the underdog, Nevada has gone 5-2 vs. the spread this season and is 19-11 overall. On the road, the Wolf Pack are 10-4 vs. the spread and have an ATS mark of 7-3 in their last 10 road games.

On the season, the over/under record for Nevada games is 13-17, and today’s line of 143.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (143.5). So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

In their most recent game, the Wolf Pack’s offense tallied 74 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.4 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jarod Lucas who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.5. Kenan Blackshear also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.2.

So far, the Wolf Pack’s defense is ranked 42nd in the country at 66.6 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Nevada defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Fresno State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 66 points.

Will Boise State Win at Home?

Boise State has been a much better team at home this season, going 13-3 compared to 7-5 on the road. They have won their last four games at home and are 8-2 in their last 10.

So far this season, the Broncos have been favored in 18 of their 29 games, going 15-3 in those games. Overall, they are 21-8, including a five-game win streak.

Boise State has been solid against the spread this season, going 16-12. At home, the Broncos have an ATS mark of 10-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Boise State is 7-3 vs. the spread.

Boise State’s over/under record this season is 15-13, and the average scoring total in their games is 143 points. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 143.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total is 152 points.

The Boise State offense is coming off a game where they scored 89 points against New Mexico. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.5% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Tyson Degenhart, who holds an average of 17 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Chibuzo Agbo is averaging 13.9 points per game this season.

Currently, the Broncos’ defense holds the 43rd rank in the nation, allowing 66.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. New Mexico, the Lobos finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 79 points vs. Boise State.