Nevada vs. Toledo: 9/22/2018 Free Betting Preview

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Saturday, 09/22/2018 at 12:00 pm NEVADA (2-2) at TOLEDO (2-1)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
345NEVADA 67 40.8 39.5 2-2 1-3-0 2-1-0 167 289.3 456.3 154 300 454
346TOLEDO -10 51 32 2-1 2-1-0 2-0-0 185 280.7 465.7 197 232 429

Last Updated: 2018-09-18

The Rockets of Toledo (-12) are gearing up to host the Nevada Wolf Pack at Glass Bowl. Kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network has the TV rights.

Nevada vs. Toledo Betting Odds

The line for this game is sitting at 12 points in favor of Toledo. The Wolf Pack are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while the Rockets are -475. This tilt should offer several live betting opportunities. The over/under is set at 66.5 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the Rockets, as the opening line was -10. The game’s O/U has yet to move after being initially set at 66.5.

The Wolf Pack are 2-1 straight up (SU) while the Rockets are 1-1 SU. The Wolf Pack are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Rockets have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-0.

When these two squads met a year ago, Toledo got the victory 37-24.

The Wolf Pack enter after a 37-35 win over Oregon State last week. The Wolf Pack secondary allowed the Beavers to air it out for 459 yards and two touchdowns. On the offensive side, Ty Gangi completed only 17-of-35 passes for 195 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Toa Taua (81 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Gangi (61 yards on eight carries) led the running attack. McLane Mannix (five receptions, 85 yards, one TD) and Jaxson Kincaide (four catches, 12 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Toledo just suffered a brutal 49-24 defeat to Miami (FL). Mitchell Guadagni completed 13-of-21 passes for 222 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Guadagni (47 yards on 15 rush attempts) mounted the running game while Diontae Johnson (six receptions, 119 yards, two TDs) and Seymour (two catches, 34 yards) led the Toledo pass-catchers in the loss.

Nevada has run the ball on 46.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has a rush percentage of 59.6 percent. The Wolf Pack have rushed for 135 yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Rockets are putting up 163 rush yards per contest and have six total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Wolf Pack may have an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has generated 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.2 to opponents. The Rockets have registered 4.0 yards per carry and allowed 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Wolf Pack have logged 279 yards per contest through the air overall and have seven passing scores so far. The Rockets have recorded 306 pass yards per outing and have five total pass TDs.

Defensively, Nevada has let opponents rush for an average of 129 yards and throw for 323 yards per game. Toledo has allowed 160.5 yards per game on the ground and 189.5 to opponents in the air. The Rockets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.03 to opponents, while the Wolf Pack have given up a 6.66 ANY/A.

Gangi is up to 537 passing yards this year, and has connected on 33-of-61 attempts with five passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Gangi’s got an 8.51 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.10 over the past two games.

McLane Mannix (217 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), Toa Taua (137 rush yards, one rush TD) and Romeo Doubs (38 receiving yards) have each played big roles lately.

Mitchell Guadagni has produced 222 yards, two TDs and one INT for Toledo. His ANY/A stands at 7.68 for the season and 12.61 across his past two games.

Diontae Johnson (119 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns this season), Art Thompkins (31 rush yards, one rush TD, 32 receiving yards) and Jon’Vea Johnson (18 receiving yards) have combined to account for 398 total yards and five touchdowns over the last two games.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Toledo Rockets NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Toledo, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes

The Nevada defense has 10 sacks on the year while Toledo has just four.

Toledo has lost zero fumbles in 2018 while Nevada has lost two.

The Wolf Pack offense has created four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Rockets have accounted for two such plays.

The Nevada defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Toledo has given up two such plays.

The Nevada offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Toledo has created zero such run.

The Wolf Pack defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rockets have given up one such run.

Toledo was the underdog by 12 points in its previous outing and the O/U was set at 57.5. The over cashed and Toledo did not cover in the 49-24 defeat to Miami (FL).

Nevada was favored by 4 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 68. The over cashed and Nevada failed to cover in the 37-35 victory over Oregon State.

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