Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Cornhuskers and Fighting Illini. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on CBS, and it’s hosted by the Fighting Illini at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 153.5 points, and Illinois is favored by -4.5 vs. Nebraska in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini -4.5

This game will be played at Target Center at 3:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Not only will Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Nebraska Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Nebraska comes into this game as the underdog, and they have gone 4-8 when they are not favored. So far this season, they have gone 22-9, and they are currently on a four-game win streak. In their last game, they played Indiana and won by a score of 93-66.

Over their last 10 games, Nebraska has gone 3-7 on the road, and they are 4-8 on the road this season. Their average scoring margin on the road is -2.4 points per game. At home, they have gone 20-1, and they have won their last 14 games at home.

Nebraska’s ATS record this season is an impressive 22-10-1, but their mark vs. the spread as the underdog is just 5-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cornhuskers are 4-6. On the road, Nebraska has gone 5-7 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 road ATS mark is 2-1.

Nebraska’s over/under record for the season sits at 22-11 and today’s line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.2). So far, 20 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Nebraska’s offense scored 93 points against Indiana. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50%, and they went 19/24 from the free-throw line. One area that the Nebraska offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 175th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

So far, the Cornhuskers’ defense is ranked 94th in the country at 69.1 points per contest. Nebraska’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Indiana offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 66 points.

Will Illinois Come Through as Home Favorites?

Illinois comes into this game as the favorite, with a record of 22-5 in that role this season. They are also 18-3 at home, where they have an average scoring margin of +13.3 points per game. Over their last 10 home games, the Fighting Illini have gone 8-2.

Overall, Illinois has gone 23-8 this season, including a 16-6 mark in Big Ten play. They have won three straight games, including their most recent victory over Ohio State, 77-74.

As the favorite, Illinois has gone just 12-14-1 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is just 8-12-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 5-5 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Illinois’ games this season (149.8). This year, 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points, which is lower than their season average of 156.5 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Illinois offense ended with 77 points against Ohio State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.9% and made 4 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Terrence Shannon Jr. with 28 points. Dain Dainja also added 18 points for the Fighting Illini.

In terms of defense, Illinois is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Nebraska, the Illinois defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Illinois made 21 free-throws vs. the Fighting Illini.