Planning on watching today’s Cornhuskers and Fighting Illini game? Catch the action at State Farm Center in Champaign, IL, as the Fighting Illini hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on BTN. The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and Illinois is favored by -9.5 vs. Nebraska in a Big Ten conference matchup.


The Pick: Nebraska Cornhuskers +9.5

This game will be played at State Farm Center at 6:30 ET on Sunday, February 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Fighting Illini.
  • Even though we have Illinois winning straight-up, we like Nebraska at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Cornhuskers Defense Show Up on the Road?

Nebraska enters this game as a 9.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-5 as the underdog this season. On the road, the Cornhuskers are just 2-5, and they have lost four straight games away from home.

Overall, Nebraska is 16-6, including a 5-5 record in Big Ten play. They have gone 11-1 outside of the conference, and they are coming off a 73-51 loss to Maryland.

As the underdog, Nebraska has gone just 3-5 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cornhuskers are 4-6 ATS. On the road, Nebraska is 2-5 vs. the spread this year and they have an ATS mark of 0-3 in their last three road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Nebraska games is 14-7. The average scoring total in their games is 147.4 points, while the average over/under line is 147 points. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

In their recent matchup, the Nebraska offense ended with 51 points against Maryland. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.5% and made 10 threes. Offensively, the Cornhuskers have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 179th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 77th in percentage and 24th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Cornhuskers’ defense holds the 121st rank in the nation, allowing 70.2 points per game. The Nebraska defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Maryland to connect on 11 threes.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Illinois?

Illinois comes into this game with a 16-5 record, including a 7-3 mark in Big Ten play. They have won two straight games and are 12-2 at home this season.

For the year, the Fighting Illini have been favored in 17 of their 21 games, going 14-3 in those contests. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Illinois has an ATS record of 11-8-2 this season, but they have gone just 6-7-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 13-8 and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (147). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Fighting Illini’s offense finished with 87 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 82.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Marcus Domask, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.5, while Terrence Shannon Jr. also carries a PPG average of 20.1 into the game.

Currently, the Fighting Illini’s defense holds the 94th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. Ohio State, the Buckeyes finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 75 points vs. Illinois.